The Minnesota Twins hope to break their three-game losing run versus the Boston Red Sox (38-35), on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET.
The Red Sox are an away underdog (+107) against the Twins (-125). The game’s total is 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of June 20, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -125 | +107 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 27 out of the 44 games, or 61.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Minnesota is 24-15 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of 73 games with a total.
- The Twins are 34-39-0 against the spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.90 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been underdogs in 41 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (46.3%) in those contests.
- This season, Boston has been victorious 14 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 40 of its 73 opportunities.
- The Red Sox have posted a record of 37-36-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.45 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober and his team are 5-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Ober has 10 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 10 chances this season.
- Ober’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
- Ober’s team has a 6-4 record in his starts this season.
- The teams have gone under the point total set by bookmakers in each of the 10 games Ober has started this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 32 | 31 | 32 | 3.19 | 8 | 1 |
| Jovani Moran | 26 | 29.1 | 32 | 4.60 | 7 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 25 | 31.2 | 28 | 3.98 | 0 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 25 | 27 | 36 | 1.33 | 1 | 9 |
| Brock Stewart | 21 | 22 | 28 | 0.82 | 6 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford
- Crawford (1-3) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.20 ERA in 40 2/3 innings pitched, with 41 strikeouts.
- The righty last appeared on Tuesday, June 13 against the Colorado Rockies, when he went four innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Crawford is trying to record his third start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
- In four of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Red Sox were the moneyline underdog for two Crawford starts this season — they lost both.
- Over Crawford’s five starts, his team is 1-4.
- Crawford has had five starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and two of those games hit the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 25 | 42.1 | 31 | 2.34 | 9 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 23 | 23.2 | 28 | 3.04 | 0 | 15 |
| Chris Martin | 22 | 21.2 | 18 | 2.08 | 12 | 1 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 17 | 20.1 | 18 | 2.66 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have racked up two or more round-trippers in 36 games this season, and are 30-6 in those contests.
- Minnesota has collected at least five extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 22-1 in those contests.
- The team is 35-9 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Minnesota is 36-4 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins are 16-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won 15 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-8.
- They have a record of 31-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has won 32 of its 41 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 11-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-125)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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