The Milwaukee Brewers (37-35) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (44-29) at 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday.
As the favorite, the Diamondbacks (-144 on the moneyline to win) play at the Brewers (+122). The contest has an over/under of 8.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of June 20, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -144 | +122 | 8 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- This season, the Diamondbacks have won 23 out of the 34 games, or 67.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Arizona is 14-6 this season when entering a game favored by -144 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 59% chance to win.
- Games involving Arizona has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 35 of 73 chances this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 45-28-0 ATS in their 73 games with a spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.95 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 32 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (50%) in those games.
- This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win seven times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 30 of its 72 opportunities.
- The Brewers are 32-40-0 against the spread in their 72 games that had a posted line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson
- Nelson’s team is 9-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed four innings while giving up five earned runs on 10 hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Nelson has started 14 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 10 times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
- He has made 14 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Nelson starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-3.
- Nelson’s team has won six of his 14 starts this season.
- In games Nelson has started this season, the teams are 7-6-1 at hitting the over.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 31 | 37 | 42 | 2.68 | 12 | 3 |
| Miguel Castro | 30 | 30 | 25 | 3.60 | 8 | 7 |
| Kyle Nelson | 29 | 26 | 32 | 2.77 | 6 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 29 | 25.1 | 38 | 2.84 | 9 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 26 | 32.1 | 29 | 6.12 | 1 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea makes the start for the Brewers, his 12th of the season. He is 3-4 with a 4.71 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 57 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Minnesota Twins, the righty went five innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Rea is aiming for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.8 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 12 outings this season.
- The Brewers are 4-2 in Rea’s six starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Rea’s 11 starts, his team is 6-5.
- Rea’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of 11 games.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 30 | 27 | 23 | 3.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 30 | 31.1 | 32 | 4.88 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 29 | 32.1 | 34 | 2.51 | 11 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 23 | 23.2 | 34 | 1.90 | 0 | 12 |
| Bryse Wilson | 22 | 35 | 28 | 2.83 | 2 | 3 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have a 23-7 record this season in games when they belt at least two home runs.
- Arizona is 17-5 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 43-14 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Arizona is 43-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 14-15 in the 29 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 36 games this season and are 30-6 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee has won each of its five games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have a record of 26-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Milwaukee has won 36 of its 40 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 19 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+122)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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