Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 20, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 20, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-37) will attempt to stop a seven-game losing streak when hosting the Chicago Cubs (34-38) at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Pirates play as a home underdog (+117) against the Cubs (-137). The total for this game is set at 8.

The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of June 20, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -137 +117 8

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been favorites in 35 games this season and won 19 (54.3%) of those contests.
  • Chicago has entered 15 games this season favored by -137 or more and is 8-7 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of 72 opportunities.
  • In 72 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 37-35-0 ATS.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.3
HR 9
ERA 3.64
K/9 7.2

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 22 times (42.3%) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 17-18 when favored by +117 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 46.1% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 35 of 71 chances this season.
  • The Pirates are 33-38-0 against the spread in their 71 games that had a posted line this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 10
ERA 6.00
K/9 10.1

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman

  • Stroman and his team are 8-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Stroman has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 15 chances this season.
  • Stroman’s team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-3).
  • Stroman’s team has a 9-6 record in his starts this season.
  • In Stroman’s 15 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Julian Merryweather 30 31.1 44 3.16 3 0
Michael Fulmer 30 30.2 35 5.28 6 1
Mark Leiter Jr. 27 29.2 45 2.73 12 3
Adbert Alzolay 24 32 33 1.97 7 4
Michael Rucker 22 28.1 32 4.45 0 0

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo

  • Oviedo (3-6) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his 15th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.40 ERA in 75 2/3 innings pitched, with 71 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance was on Friday against the Chicago Cubs, when the righty threw 4 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Oviedo has put up 10 starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
  • In one of his 14 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
  • The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Oviedo’s starts this season, and they went 3-7 in those games.
  • Over Oviedo’s 14 starts, his team is 6-8.
  • Oviedo has had 14 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in seven of those outings.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Dauri Moreta 30 32 43 2.53 4 1
David Bednar 26 26 31 1.73 0 14
Yohan Ramirez 19 24 23 3.00 3 0
Duane Underwood Jr. 19 24.1 14 5.18 3 2
Angel Perdomo 7 8 13 2.25 1 0

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs have racked up two or more long balls in 26 games this season, and are 14-12 in those contests.
  • Chicago is 10-2 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits in 48 games this season, and is 34-14 in those contests.
  • Chicago has a 26-6 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Cubs have gone 15-14 in the 29 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They are 16-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Pittsburgh has won 15 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 24 of the 33 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a 21-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-10

Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-137)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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