The New York Mets (34-38) will look for another big outing from a batter on a roll against the Houston Astros (39-34) on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET, at Minute Maid Park. Francisco Lindor is currently on a two-game homer streak.
An expected close contest pits the Astros (-112 moneyline odds to win) against the Mets (-111). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 20, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -112 | -111 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been favorites in 53 games this season and won 27 (50.9%) of those contests.
- Houston is 26-23 this season when entering a game favored by -112 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 52.8% chance to win.
- Houston’s games have gone over the total in 36 of its 73 chances.
- The Astros have an ATS record of 34-39-0 in 73 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.74 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been victorious in eight, or 36.4%, of the 22 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, New York has been victorious nine times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least -111 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 52.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 34 of its 73 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mets have an against the spread mark of 28-45-0 in 73 games with a line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.96 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez’s team is 7-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up one earned run on five hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Valdez has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 14 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Valdez’s team is 6-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Valdez’s team has an 8-6 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Valdez have an 8-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 32 | 34.2 | 53 | 2.08 | 10 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 31 | 35.2 | 39 | 1.51 | 4 | 0 |
| Rafael Montero | 30 | 29.2 | 33 | 6.67 | 4 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 28 | 29 | 32 | 1.24 | 13 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 28 | 29.1 | 31 | 3.38 | 0 | 12 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- The Mets are sending Verlander (2-3) to the mound for his ninth start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 39 strikeouts through 45 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the New York Yankees, the right-hander tossed six innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Verlander is trying to collect his eighth start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
- He has not made an outing so far in 2023 that he did not allow at least one earned run.
- The Mets were the underdog on the moneyline for one Verlander start this season — they lost.
- Over Verlander’s eight starts, his team is 3-5.
- Verlander has started eight games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 31 | 28.1 | 29 | 4.13 | 7 | 5 |
| Brooks Raley | 29 | 24.1 | 25 | 2.96 | 13 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 28 | 31.1 | 40 | 1.72 | 6 | 10 |
| Jeff Brigham | 25 | 25.2 | 28 | 4.21 | 5 | 0 |
| Dominic Leone | 16 | 18.1 | 16 | 3.93 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 14-6 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Houston has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 15 games this season, and has gone 11-4 in those contests.
- The team is 39-11 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Houston has a 37-6 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Astros have drawn five or more walks in 21 games this season, and are 16-5 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 23 games this season and are 10-13 in those matchups.
- New York has won six of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 42 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 27-15.
- In 40 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 27-13.
- In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-8
Astros vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-112)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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