A pair of MLB’s most consistent hitters go head-to-head when the Atlanta Braves (46-26) and Philadelphia Phillies (38-34) meet at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at Citizens Bank Park. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a .325 batting average (second in league) for the Braves, while Nicholas Castellanos ranks fifth at .315.
The Phillies are an underdog at home (+130) versus the Braves (-155). The total for this game is 8.5.
The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of June 20, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -155 | +130 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 62 times this season and won 40, or 64.5%, of those games.
- Atlanta has a record of 26-13 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -155 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 60.8%.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 41 of its 72 chances.
- The Braves are 35-37-0 ATS in their 72 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.2 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been victorious in 12, or 44.4%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Philadelphia has won two of eight games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 29 of its 72 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies are 32-40-0 against the spread in their 72 games that had a posted line this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.77 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider’s team is 7-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- In 14 starts, Strider has pitched through or past the fifth inning 13 times. He has a season average of 5.6 frames per outing.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 14 chances this season.
- Strider’s team has a record of 12-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Strider has started, his team is 12-2.
- In games Strider has started this season, the teams are 11-3-0 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 34 | 32.2 | 39 | 5.51 | 4 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 26 | 28.1 | 32 | 3.49 | 10 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 24 | 26.1 | 35 | 3.42 | 4 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 24 | 24.1 | 31 | 3.7 | 4 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 21 | 30 | 19 | 2.7 | 5 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez gets the start for the Phillies, his eighth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.82 ERA and 35 strikeouts through 37 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Thursday, the left-hander tossed seven scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks while surrendering four hits.
- Suarez will look to go five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing.
- He has had one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Phillies are 2-1 in Suarez’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Suarez’s team is 5-2 in his seven starts.
- Suarez has started seven contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in three of them.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 31 | 27.2 | 29 | 4.88 | 11 | 1 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 30 | 28 | 44 | 4.5 | 3 | 10 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 22 | 33.1 | 29 | 1.62 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 19 | 19.1 | 33 | 2.33 | 5 | 6 |
| Yunior Marte | 17 | 15.2 | 17 | 6.89 | 1 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 27-9 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Atlanta is undefeated in its 17 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits 52 times this season, and has a 37-15 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 38-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves are 14-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 20 games this season and are 14-6 in those matchups.
- Philadelphia has won 13 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 30 of the 48 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Philadelphia has a 27-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-6
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-155)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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