The Boston Red Sox (37-35) will aim to keep a seven-game win streak alive when they visit the Minnesota Twins (36-36) at 7:40 PM ET on Monday.
The Twins are favored (-147 on the moneyline) when they take the field at home against the Red Sox (+125). The contest has a set total of 8.
The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 19, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -147 | +125 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 27, or 62.8%, of the 43 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota is 14-11 this season when entering a game favored by -147 or more on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of 72 games with a total.
- The Twins are 34-38-0 against the spread in their 72 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been victorious in 18, or 45%, of the 40 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Boston has a win-loss record of 12-7 when favored by +125 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 44.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 39 of 72 chances this season.
- The Red Sox have posted a record of 36-36-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.16 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez’s team is 5-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 14 chances this season.
- Lopez’s team has a record of 8-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Lopez’s team has won eight of his 14 starts.
- Games started by Lopez have a 7-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 31 | 30 | 32 | 3.3 | 8 | 1 |
| Jovani Moran | 25 | 29 | 32 | 4.34 | 7 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 25 | 27 | 36 | 1.33 | 1 | 9 |
| Emilio Pagán | 24 | 31 | 28 | 4.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Stewart | 21 | 22 | 28 | 0.82 | 6 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton
- The Red Sox will send Paxton (2-1) to make his seventh start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 44 strikeouts through 32 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Monday, June 12, the lefty threw six innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up no earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Paxton will try to build upon a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing).
- In one of his six total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Red Sox were the moneyline underdog for two Paxton starts this season — they won both.
- In Paxton’s six starts, his team is 3-4.
- Paxton’s starts went over the run total three times in seven games with a set total this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 24 | 41.2 | 30 | 2.38 | 9 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 23 | 23.2 | 28 | 3.04 | 0 | 15 |
| Chris Martin | 22 | 21.2 | 18 | 2.08 | 12 | 1 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 17 | 20.1 | 18 | 2.66 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit two or more long balls in 36 games this season, and are 30-6 in those outings.
- Minnesota has collected at least five extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 22-1 in those outings.
- The team is 35-9 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Minnesota is 36-4 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins are 16-10 in the 26 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won 15 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Boston has gone 14-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 30-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 40 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 31-9.
- They have won 10 of their 20 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-147)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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