Reds vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 19, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (37-35) ride an eight-game winning streak into a home matchup versus the Colorado Rockies (29-45) at 7:10 PM ET on Monday.

The Rockies are road underdogs (+144) against the Reds (-170). The matchup has an over/under of 10 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 19, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Reds vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Reds -170 +144 10

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been favorites in 16 games this season and won nine (56.2%) of those contests.
  • Cincinnati has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -170 odds on them winning this game.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 41 of its 72 chances.
  • The Reds have an ATS record of 43-29-0 in 72 games with a spread this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 11
ERA 4.05
K/9 6.0

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been victorious in 26, or 40%, of the 65 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Colorado has a mark of 12-30 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +144 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over in 32 of its 74 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rockies are 34-40-0 against the spread in their 74 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 6.93
K/9 6.8

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson

  • Williamson’s team is 5-1-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • Williamson will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • He has not pitched this season without allowing at least one earned run.
  • Williamson’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Williamson’s team has won five of his six starts this season.
  • Out of Williamson’s six starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 31 34.1 27 3.41 6 1
Buck Farmer 30 34.2 29 2.34 6 1
Alex Young 29 28.2 31 2.83 8 1
Alexis Diaz 28 29 50 1.86 1 18
Lucas Sims 24 25.2 30 2.81 10 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Austin Gomber

  • Gomber (4-6 with a 7.29 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rockies, his 15th of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox, the left-hander threw six innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Gomber has put up seven starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
  • In one of his 14 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
  • The Rockies have a 6-6 record in Gomber’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Gomber’s 14 starts, his team is 7-7.
  • Gomber’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 14 games with a set total this season.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Bird 32 46.2 46 3.47 4 0
Justin Lawrence 31 39 38 3.00 7 2
Pierce Johnson 30 28 40 7.07 0 12
Brent Suter 29 40.2 33 2.88 2 0
Brad Hand 29 26 34 3.46 2 0

Reds Hitting Trends

  • The Reds have a 16-2 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Cincinnati is 18-4 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected at least eight hits 54 times this season, and has a 38-16 record in those games.
  • Cincinnati has a 41-6 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Reds are 11-17 in the 28 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 9-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Colorado has gone 10-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 24 of the 50 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 30 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 23-7.
  • They have a 7-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Reds vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (-170)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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