The Toronto Blue Jays (39-34) visit the Miami Marlins (41-31) at 6:40 PM ET on Monday, a game featuring two of MLB’s most consistent batters. Bo Bichette has an average of .312 (sixth in league) for the Blue Jays, while Luis Arraez is first at .388 for the Marlins.
The Blue Jays are a favorite (-153) at the Marlins (+129). The total in the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of June 19, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -153 | +129 | 8 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 28, or 56%, of those games.
- This season Toronto has won 13 of its 22 games, or 59.1%, when favored by at least -153 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.5% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
- Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 33 of its 73 chances.
- The Blue Jays are 33-40-0 ATS in their 73 games with a spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.07 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 20, or 51.3%, of the 39 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win seven times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over in 32 of its 72 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 34-38-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios
- Berrios and his team are 8-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
- Berrios has pitched five or more innings in 12 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 14 chances this season.
- Berrios’ team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-4).
- Berrios’ team has a 9-5 record in his starts this season.
- In Berrios’ 14 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 34 | 25 | 24 | 1.44 | 7 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 32 | 33.2 | 41 | 2.67 | 17 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 31 | 30.1 | 38 | 5.64 | 8 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 29 | 29.1 | 37 | 2.76 | 1 | 20 |
| Adam Cimber | 22 | 20.2 | 12 | 7.40 | 1 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Bryan Hoeing
- The Marlins are sending Hoeing (1-1) to make his sixth start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.12 ERA and 22 strikeouts over 26 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was in relief on Tuesday when the righty tossed two innings against the Seattle Mariners, surrendering one earned run while giving up two hits.
- Hoeing enters this matchup with one outing of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in 11 of his 16 outings this season.
- The Marlins are 2-1 in Hoeing’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Hoeing’s team has won three of his five starts.
- Hoeing has had five starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those games.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 31 | 31.2 | 39 | 2.27 | 5 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 29 | 34 | 48 | 2.91 | 12 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 28 | 28.1 | 28 | 4.13 | 8 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 25 | 33.2 | 37 | 4.01 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 23 | 24.1 | 33 | 1.85 | 7 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays are 15-8 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- Toronto has gone 9-1 in its 10 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits in 62 games this season, and is 38-24 in those contests.
- Toronto has a 29-10 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 17 games this season, and are 11-6 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won eight of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami has won 12 of its 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 61 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 35-26.
- Miami has won 27 of its 37 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won eight of their 19 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+129)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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