Christian Walker rides a two-game homer streak into the Arizona Diamondbacks’ (43-29) game versus the Milwaukee Brewers (37-34) at 8:10 PM ET on Monday, at American Family Field.
The Brewers are a home favorite (-120) versus the Diamondbacks (+102). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of June 19, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -120 | +102 | 7.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have been favored 39 times and won 21, or 53.8%, of those games.
- Milwaukee is 17-13 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 29 of its 71 chances.
- The Brewers are 32-39-0 against the spread in their 71 chances this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 36 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (52.8%) in those contests.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win 14 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 34 of its 72 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 44-28-0 against the spread in their 72 games that had a posted line this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.44 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- When Burnes starts, his team is 5-9-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in six innings pitched against the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday.
- Burnes has 12 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 14 chances this season.
- When Burnes starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-5.
- Burnes’ team has won seven of his 14 starts this season.
- In games Burnes has started this season, the teams are 8-6-0 at hitting the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 30 | 27 | 23 | 3.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 30 | 31.1 | 32 | 4.88 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 29 | 32.1 | 34 | 2.51 | 11 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 23 | 23.2 | 34 | 1.90 | 0 | 12 |
| Bryse Wilson | 22 | 35 | 28 | 2.83 | 2 | 3 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- The Diamondbacks are sending Kelly (8-3) out for his 15th start of the season. He is 8-3 with a 3.04 ERA and 89 strikeouts through 83 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out was on Thursday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the righty went six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Kelly is looking for his 14th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 frames per start.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Diamondbacks have a 3-3 record in Kelly’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Kelly’s team has a 9-5 record in his starts this season.
- Kelly has had 14 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and four of those outings finished over the total.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 31 | 37 | 42 | 2.68 | 12 | 3 |
| Kyle Nelson | 29 | 26 | 32 | 2.77 | 6 | 0 |
| Miguel Castro | 29 | 29 | 25 | 3.72 | 8 | 7 |
| Andrew Chafin | 29 | 25.1 | 38 | 2.84 | 9 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 26 | 32.1 | 29 | 6.12 | 1 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 30-6 this season in games when they send out at least two homers.
- Milwaukee has won each of its five games this season when putting up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits in 35 games this season, and is 26-9 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is 36-4 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 19-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They are 22-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-5.
- They have won 42 of the 56 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Arizona has a 42-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 14 of their 29 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-120)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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