The Chicago Cubs (33-38) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-36) to start a three-game series at PNC Park, with first pitch at 7:05 PM ET on Monday. The Cubs are coming off a series victory over the Orioles, and the Pirates a series loss to the Brewers.
The Pirates are an underdog (+113 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Cubs (-132). The game’s total is set at 9.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of June 19, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -132 | +113 | 9 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 34 times this season and won 18, or 52.9%, of those games.
- Chicago has entered 17 games this season favored by -132 or more and is 10-7 in those contests.
- The Cubs have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of 71 opportunities.
- The Cubs are 36-35-0 ATS in their 71 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 22 wins in the 51 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Pittsburgh has won 18 of 37 games when listed as at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 35 of its 70 opportunities.
- The Pirates are 33-37-0 against the spread in their 70 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 6.43 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- Smyly and his team have a record of 9-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed nine hits in six innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Smyly will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 14 chances this season.
- Smyly’s team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-3.
- In games Smyly has started, his team is 8-6.
- In Smyly’s 14 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 29 | 29.2 | 35 | 5.46 | 5 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 29 | 30.1 | 43 | 3.26 | 3 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 27 | 29.2 | 45 | 2.73 | 12 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 24 | 32 | 33 | 1.97 | 7 | 4 |
| Michael Rucker | 21 | 26.1 | 30 | 4.78 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Osvaldo Bido
- Bido (0-0) makes the start for the Pirates, his second of the season.
- In his last time out on Thursday, the righty tossed four innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- The Pirates were the underdog on the moneyline for one Bido start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
- Bido’s lone start with a total this season went over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 30 | 32 | 43 | 2.53 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 26 | 26 | 31 | 1.73 | 0 | 14 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 18 | 22.2 | 22 | 3.18 | 3 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 7 | 8 | 13 | 2.25 | 1 | 0 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have racked up two or more homers in 26 games this season, and are 14-12 in those contests.
- Chicago has had five or more extra-base hits in 12 games this season, and has gone 10-2 in those outings.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 47 games this season, and is 33-14 in those contests.
- Chicago is 25-6 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Cubs have gone 14-14 over the 28 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 16-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-2.
- They have won 24 of the 33 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 25 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 21-4.
- They have a 12-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+113)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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