The New York Yankees (39-32) hope to stop their six-game losing run versus the Boston Red Sox (36-35), at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The favored Red Sox (-140 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Yankees (+119). The game’s over/under is 8.5.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 18, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -140 | +119 | 8.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 17, or 56.7%, of those games.
- Boston has a record of 6-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -140 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 39 of its 71 chances.
- The Red Sox are 35-36-0 against the spread in their 71 chances this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been victorious in 10, or 43.5%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- New York has a mark of 7-7 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 31 of its 71 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 71 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 38-33-0 against the spread.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- When Bello starts, his team is 6-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, June 11, when he threw seven innings against the New York Yankees, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Bello has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has not pitched this season without allowing at least one earned run.
- Bello’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
- In games Bello has started, his team is 6-4.
- Games started by Bello have a 6-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 23 | 40.2 | 29 | 2.43 | 8 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 22 | 22.2 | 26 | 3.18 | 0 | 14 |
| Chris Martin | 22 | 21.2 | 18 | 2.08 | 12 | 1 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 17 | 20.1 | 18 | 2.66 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino
- The Yankees will send Severino (0-1) out for his sixth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 22 strikeouts through 25 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out came on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when the righty went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Severino is looking to pick up his third start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- He has not made an appearance yet in 2023 that he did not allow at least one earned run.
- The Yankees were the moneyline underdog for two Severino starts this season — they split the games.
- In Severino’s five starts, his team is 3-3.
- Severino has had six starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and three of those games hit the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 30 | 27.1 | 24 | 2.63 | 8 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 29 | 29 | 36 | 1.86 | 4 | 8 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 27 | 31.2 | 38 | 3.41 | 6 | 1 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 25 | 27.2 | 31 | 3.58 | 7 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 25 | 33 | 34 | 3.27 | 3 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have a 15-9 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
- Boston has collected five or more extra-base hits in 22 games this season, and has gone 14-8 in those outings.
- The team is 29-22 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Boston is 31-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Red Sox have drawn five or more walks in 20 games this season, and are 10-10 in those contests.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They are 34-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-2.
- They have won 33 of the 48 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- New York has a 30-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 18 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-6
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-140)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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