Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 18, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (29-43) take on the Washington Nationals (27-43) after Nolan Arenado hit a pair of home runs in an 8-7 victory over the Mets. The game starts at 4:05 PM ET on Monday.

The Nationals are an underdog (+127 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Cardinals (-149). The total for this game is set at 9.5.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of June 19, 2023 at 3:25 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cardinals vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cardinals -149 +127 9.5

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been favorites in 42 games this season and won 17 (40.5%) of those contests.
  • St. Louis has a record of 9-13 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -149 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
  • So far this season, St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of 72 games with a total.
  • The Cardinals are 30-42-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 16
ERA 5.40
K/9 7.4

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 67 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (37.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, Washington has been victorious 20 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least +127 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 44.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 70 chances this season.
  • The Nationals are 40-30-0 against the spread in their 70 games that had a posted line this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 6
ERA 4.34
K/9 7.3

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty

  • Flaherty and his team have a record of 7-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up six earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
  • Flaherty has 10 starts of five or more innings this season in 14 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
  • He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 14 chances this season.
  • Flaherty’s team has been victorious in 42.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-4.
  • Flaherty’s team has won eight of his 14 starts this season.
  • Games Flaherty has started this season hit the over nine times in 14 chances.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 30 33.1 34 4.32 7 0
Jordan Hicks 28 30.1 48 4.15 6 2
Chris Stratton 26 37.2 40 4.30 1 0
Giovanny Gallegos 25 27.2 28 3.90 6 8
Génesis Cabrera 24 26.2 32 5.40 3 0

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray

  • The Nationals will send Gray (4-5) to make his 15th start of the season. He is 4-5 with a 3.19 ERA and 66 strikeouts through 79 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Thursday against the Houston Astros, the righty threw seven innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Gray will try to go five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
  • He has had one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Nationals have a 5-8 record in Gray’s 13 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Gray’s team is 6-8 in his 14 starts.
  • Gray has had 14 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those games finished over the total.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carl Edwards Jr. 31 30.2 23 3.23 13 2
Hunter Harvey 28 29.2 35 3.34 11 3
Mason Thompson 27 35.1 30 3.31 3 1
Kyle Finnegan 26 26.2 30 4.39 3 11
Thad Ward 17 25.2 24 5.61 0 0

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • The Cardinals have put up two or more dingers in 37 games this season, and are 25-12 in those contests.
  • St. Louis is 21-3 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected eight or more hits in 50 games this season, and is 31-19 in those contests.
  • St. Louis has a 28-7 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Cardinals are 9-14 over the 23 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 13 games this season and are 8-5 in those matchups.
  • Washington has won nine of its 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 24 of the 46 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 27 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 18-9.
  • They have won seven of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+127)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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