The Minnesota Twins (36-35) host the Detroit Tigers (29-40) on Sunday at Target Field, at 2:10 PM ET.
The Tigers are an underdog away (+161) at the Twins (-190). The over/under for this game is 8.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of June 18, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -190 | +161 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 27 out of the 42 games, or 64.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Minnesota has won four of its nine games, or 44.4%, when favored by at least -190 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 65.5%.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of 71 games with a total.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 34-37-0 in 71 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been victorious in 26, or 40.6%, of the 64 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Detroit has a win-loss record of 10-13 when favored by +161 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 38.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of its 70 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Tigers have posted a record of 38-32-0 against the spread this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.06 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Louie Varland
- When Varland starts, his team is 5-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Varland has made seven starts of five or more innings in nine chances this season, and averages 5.7 frames when he pitches.
- In nine appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- Varland’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Varland’s team has won four of his nine starts.
- In games Varland has started this season, the teams are 4-5-0 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 31 | 30 | 32 | 3.30 | 8 | 1 |
| Jorge López | 27 | 27 | 22 | 5.00 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 25 | 27 | 36 | 1.33 | 1 | 9 |
| Jovani Moran | 24 | 28 | 31 | 4.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 24 | 31 | 28 | 4.06 | 0 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Reese Olson
- Olson (0-2) pitches first for the Tigers to make his third start this season.
- His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves, when the righty went 3 1/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Olson has put up two starts this campaign that he pitched five or more innings.
- The Tigers were the underdog on the moneyline for two Olson starts this season — they lost both.
- His team has lost both of the matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Olson’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 29 | 29.1 | 24 | 2.45 | 11 | 2 |
| Alex Lange | 28 | 28.1 | 38 | 3.18 | 2 | 10 |
| José Cisnero | 27 | 25.2 | 27 | 2.45 | 6 | 1 |
| Chasen Shreve | 26 | 25.2 | 27 | 4.21 | 8 | 0 |
| Will Vest | 20 | 26.1 | 28 | 3.08 | 3 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 30-6 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Minnesota is 22-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 44 games this season, and is 35-9 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 36-4 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins are 16-10 over the 26 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They are 9-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-4.
- They have a record of 28-10 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 32 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 25-7.
- They have won 14 of their 21 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-190)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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