Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 18, 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-28) aim to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Cleveland Guardians (32-38), at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday.

The Diamondbacks are projected as a tight favorite (-109 moneyline odds to win) against the Guardians (-108). The contest has a set total of 9.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of June 18, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Diamondbacks -109 -108 9

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 23 (69.7%) of those contests.
  • Arizona has entered 35 games this season favored by -109 or more and is 24-11 in those contests.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.2% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • Games involving Arizona has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 33 of 71 chances this season.
  • In 71 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 44-27-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 14
ERA 4.55
K/9 8.3

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (42.4%) in those games.
  • This season, Cleveland has been victorious 13 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 51.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of its 70 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 70 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 34-36-0 against the spread.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 11
ERA 4.35
K/9 7.9

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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zach Davies

  • Davies’ team is 4-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in three innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • In six starts this season, Davies has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 4.7 innings per appearance.
  • He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
  • Davies’ team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Davies’ team is 4-2 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Davies have a 2-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Scott McGough 31 37 42 2.68 12 3
Andrew Chafin 29 25.1 38 2.84 9 8
Miguel Castro 29 29 25 3.72 8 7
Kyle Nelson 29 26 32 2.77 6 0
José Ruiz 25 31 29 5.52 1 0

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee

  • Bibee makes the start for the Guardians, his 10th of the season. He is 2-2 with a 3.91 ERA and 45 strikeouts in 48 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Wednesday, the right-hander went four innings against the San Diego Padres, allowing six earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • Bibee will try to collect his eighth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.
  • So far during the 2023 campaign he has given up at least one earned run in all of his appearances.
  • The Guardians were the moneyline underdog for five Bibee starts this season — they lost all of the games.
  • Bibee’s team is 3-6 in his nine starts.
  • Bibee has started nine games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 32 33.1 30 2.7 0 21
Trevor Stephan 30 30 33 2.4 10 2
Enyel De Los Santos 29 28 26 3.21 4 0
Eli Morgan 25 28.1 30 1.91 4 1
Nick Sandlin 24 25.1 24 3.2 2 0

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have racked up two or more dingers in 29 games this season, and are 22-7 in those outings.
  • Arizona has gone 17-5 in its 22 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits 55 times this season, and has a 42-13 record in those games.
  • Arizona is 42-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Diamondbacks have gone 14-14 in the 28 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 10 games this season and are 8-2 in those matchups.
  • Cleveland has won seven of its 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 20 of the 40 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Cleveland has won 16 of its 21 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 10 of their 19 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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