The San Diego Padres (34-36) and Tampa Bay Rays (51-23) play a rubber match on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Rays are an underdog (+129 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Padres (-151). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 18, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -151 | +129 | 9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 48 times and won 26, or 54.2%, of those games.
- San Diego has a record of 16-13, a 55.2% win rate, when favored by -151 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of its 70 games with a total this season.
- The Padres have an ATS record of 34-36-0 in 70 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.74 |
| K/9 | 10 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been victorious in five of the 10 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Tampa Bay has been listed as an underdog of +129 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 74 chances this season.
- The Rays have posted a record of 44-30-0 against the spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove
- When Musgrove starts, his team is 5-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
- Musgrove will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in nine chances this season.
- Musgrove’s team has been victorious in 71.4% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-2.
- Musgrove’s team has won five of his nine starts.
- Games started by Musgrove have a 3-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 31 | 34 | 39 | 2.65 | 14 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 29 | 28.1 | 18 | 3.18 | 7 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 28 | 27.1 | 39 | 1.32 | 0 | 17 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 24 | 35.1 | 34 | 3.57 | 3 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 22 | 20.2 | 20 | 5.23 | 7 | 0 |
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 30 | 30.1 | 40 | 2.67 | 7 | 10 |
| Colin Poche | 29 | 26.2 | 19 | 2.36 | 11 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 27 | 22.1 | 21 | 5.64 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 26 | 31 | 27 | 3.48 | 8 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 23 | 18.2 | 23 | 4.34 | 8 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have a 14-14 record in games this season when they smash two or more homers.
- San Diego has gone 11-6 in its 17 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits in 35 games this season, and is 26-9 in those contests.
- San Diego is 27-4 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Padres are 18-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They have won 30 of the 39 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Tampa Bay has won 23 of its 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 39-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Tampa Bay has won 39 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 20 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-3
Padres vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+129)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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