Rangers vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 17, 2023

The Texas Rangers (43-27) and Toronto Blue Jays (39-33) square off on Sunday at 2:35 PM ET at Globe Life Field, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.

The Rangers are a home favorite (-137) versus the Blue Jays (+117). The over/under for this game is 8.5.

The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of June 18, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -137 +117 8.5

Rangers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rangers have been favored 43 times and won 28, or 65.1%, of those games.
  • Texas is 22-9 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have a 57.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of 70 opportunities.
  • The Rangers are 44-26-0 against the spread in their 70 chances this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 15
ERA 4.45
K/9 8.0

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won in 11, or 50%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Toronto has won three of seven games when listed as at least +117 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Toronto has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 72 chances this season.
  • In 72 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 33-39-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 10
ERA 4.30
K/9 9.1

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray

  • When Gray starts, his team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in nine innings pitched on Thursday, June 8 in his last outing, a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Gray will look to finish five or more innings for the 10th start in a row.
  • In 12 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
  • Gray’s team has a record of 2-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Gray’s team has a 7-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Gray has started this season hit the over six times in 12 chances.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Will Smith 25 27 30 3.00 4 12
José Leclerc 21 22.1 24 3.63 1 1
Brock Burke 21 27.1 23 3.29 7 0
Josh Sborz 19 27.2 36 2.93 6 0
Dane Dunning 8 64.2 39 2.78 3 0

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Chris Bassitt

  • Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 15th of the season. He is 7-5 with a 4.02 ERA and 75 strikeouts in 85 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Tuesday, the right-hander went three innings against the Baltimore Orioles, allowing eight earned runs while surrendering 11 hits.
  • Bassitt has pitched five or more innings in a game 11 times this year entering this outing.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 14 outings this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 5-2 in Bassitt’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Bassitt’s team has put together an 8-6 record over his 14 starts.
  • Bassitt has had 14 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those games hit the over.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 33 24.1 24 1.48 7 1
Erik Swanson 32 33.2 41 2.67 17 1
Yimi Garcia 30 29.1 36 5.83 8 0
Jordan Romano 29 29.1 37 2.76 1 20
Anthony Bass 21 20 19 4.95 1 0

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have a 26-7 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Texas is 18-9 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has totaled at least eight hits in 60 games this season, and is 45-15 in those contests.
  • Texas is 40-12 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rangers have drawn at least five walks in 28 games this season, and are 16-12 in those contests.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 23 games this season and are 15-8 in those matchups.
  • In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-1.
  • In 61 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 38-23.
  • Toronto has won 29 of its 38 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-5

Rangers vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-137)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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