Braves vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 17, 2023

The Colorado Rockies (29-44) will try to snap a four-game losing streak when visiting the Atlanta Braves (45-26) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.

The Rockies are a big underdog away from home (+248) versus the Braves (-304). The game’s total is 9.

The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 18, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -304 +248 9

Braves Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have been favored 61 times and won 39, or 63.9%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -304 odds on them winning this game.
  • The Braves have a 75.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of its 71 games with a total this season.
  • The Braves are 34-37-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 7.1
HR 22
ERA 4.25
K/9 9.2

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 26 wins in the 64 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Colorado has been listed as an underdog of +248 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 28.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of its 73 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread mark of 34-39-0 in 73 games with a line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 6.03
K/9 7.0

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton

  • When Morton starts, his team is 6-7-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings without allowing a run on four hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
  • Morton has 12 starts of five or more innings this season in 13 chances. He averages 5.8 innings per outing.
  • He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 13 chances this season.
  • When Morton starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-7.
  • Morton’s team has won six of his 13 starts this season.
  • Out of Morton’s 13 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 34 32.2 39 5.51 4 10
Nick Anderson 26 28.1 32 3.49 10 1
Joe Jiménez 24 24.1 31 3.70 4 0
Kirby Yates 23 25.1 34 3.20 4 0
Collin McHugh 20 29 19 2.79 5 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Chase Anderson

  • Anderson (0-0) gets the starting nod for the Rockies in his seventh start of the season. He has a 2.72 ERA in 36 1/3 innings pitched, with 25 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance came on Tuesday against the Boston Red Sox, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Anderson has put up five starts this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rockies have a 4-1 record in Anderson’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Anderson’s six starts, his team is 4-2.
  • Anderson has had six starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and two of those outings finished over the total.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 31 39 38 3.00 7 2
Jake Bird 31 45.2 46 3.35 4 0
Pierce Johnson 29 27 37 7.00 0 12
Brad Hand 29 26 34 3.46 2 0
Brent Suter 28 39.2 31 2.50 2 0

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have hit two or more home runs in 35 games this season, and are 26-9 in those outings.
  • Atlanta has put up five or more extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and won each time.
  • The team has strung together at least eight hits 51 times this season, and has a 36-15 record in those games.
  • Atlanta is 37-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Braves are 13-8 over the 21 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 9-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Colorado has gone 10-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 49 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 24-25.
  • In 29 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 23-6.
  • They have won seven of their 10 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Braves vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-304)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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