The Cincinnati Reds (36-35) will try to keep a seven-game win streak alive when they visit the Houston Astros (39-32) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The Reds are road underdogs (+128) at the Astros (-150). The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of June 18, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -150 | +128 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been favorites in 51 games this season and won 27 (52.9%) of those contests.
- Houston is 20-10 this season when entering a game favored by -150 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of 71 opportunities.
- The Astros are 34-37-0 ATS in their 71 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won in 27, or 49.1%, of the 55 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cincinnati has a mark of 16-17 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +128 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 40 of 71 chances this season.
- The Reds are 42-29-0 against the spread in their 71 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.10 |
| K/9 | 6.3 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Ronel Blanco
- Blanco has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, June 7 against the Toronto Blue Jays, throwing six innings and giving up two earned runs.
- Blanco will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- Blanco’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Blanco’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Blanco this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 31 | 33.2 | 51 | 1.87 | 10 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 30 | 34.1 | 37 | 1.57 | 4 | 0 |
| Rafael Montero | 30 | 29.2 | 33 | 6.67 | 4 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 28 | 29 | 32 | 1.24 | 13 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 27 | 28.1 | 31 | 3.49 | 0 | 12 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver
- Weaver (1-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 52 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his 11th of the season.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Tuesday against the Kansas City Royals, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Weaver is trying to pick up his seventh start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Reds have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Weaver’s starts this season, and they went 5-5 in those games.
- Over Weaver’s 10 starts, his team is 5-5.
- Weaver has started 10 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 30 | 33.1 | 26 | 3.24 | 6 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 30 | 34.2 | 29 | 2.34 | 6 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 28 | 29 | 50 | 1.86 | 1 | 18 |
| Alex Young | 28 | 27.2 | 31 | 2.93 | 8 | 0 |
| Lucas Sims | 23 | 24.2 | 28 | 2.92 | 9 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have put up at least two dingers in 20 games this season, and are 14-6 in those contests.
- Houston has put up five or more extra-base hits in 14 games this season, and has gone 11-3 in those contests.
- The club has collected eight or more hits in 49 games this season, and is 39-10 in those contests.
- Houston is 37-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros have drawn five or more walks in 20 games this season, and are 16-4 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 15-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cincinnati has gone 18-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 37-16 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has won 40 of its 46 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 11 of their 28 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-150)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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