Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 17, 2023

Jordan Walker carries a 10-game hitting streak into the St. Louis Cardinals’ (28-43) game against the New York Mets (33-37), at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, at Citi Field.

The Cardinals are an away underdog (+106) at the Mets (-125). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of June 18, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -125 +106 9.5

Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mets have won 26 out of the 50 games, or 52%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York has a record of 19-22 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 55.6% chance to win.
  • Games involving New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 71 chances this season.
  • In 71 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 27-44-0 ATS.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 14
ERA 5.59
K/9 8.6

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been victorious in 11, or 39.3%, of the 28 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, St. Louis has won eight of 19 games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 48.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of its 71 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Cardinals have posted a record of 29-42-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 15
ERA 5.26
K/9 7.4

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco

  • When Carrasco starts, his team is 3-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Carrasco has started eight games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
  • He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
  • Carrasco’s team is 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Carrasco’s team is 4-4 when he starts this season.
  • Games Carrasco has started this season hit the over four times in eight chances.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 30 27.1 28 3.95 7 5
Brooks Raley 28 23.1 25 3.09 13 1
David Robertson 27 30.1 40 1.78 6 10
Jeff Brigham 25 25.2 28 4.21 5 0
Dominic Leone 15 18 15 4.00 0 0

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Matthew Liberatore

  • The Cardinals are sending Liberatore (1-2) to the mound to make his fifth start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Monday, the left-hander tossed six innings against the San Francisco Giants, allowing two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Liberatore is looking to secure his fourth start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his five appearances this season.
  • The Cardinals were the underdog on the moneyline for three Liberatore starts this season — they lost every game.
  • Liberatore’s team has won one of his four starts.
  • Liberatore has started four contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 29 31.2 33 4.55 7 0
Jordan Hicks 27 29.1 48 4.30 6 1
Chris Stratton 25 36.2 39 3.93 1 0
Giovanny Gallegos 25 27.2 28 3.90 6 8
Génesis Cabrera 24 26.2 32 5.40 3 0

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets have racked up at least two home runs in 21 games this season, and are 9-12 in those outings.
  • New York has had at least five extra-base hits in nine games this season, and has gone 5-4 in those outings.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits in 41 games this season, and is 26-15 in those contests.
  • New York is 26-12 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Mets have drawn five or more walks in 14 games this season, and are 7-7 in those contests.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 24 of the 36 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has won 20 of its 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 49 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 30-19.
  • St. Louis has won 27 of its 34 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-14

Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-125)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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