Justin Turner leads the Boston Red Sox (35-35) into a contest versus the New York Yankees (39-31) after his two-homer showing in a 15-5 victory over the Yankees. It starts at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The Yankees are an underdog (+122 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Red Sox (-143). The game’s total is set at 9.
The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 18, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -143 | +122 | 9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 17, or 56.7%, of those games.
- Boston is 4-7 this season when entering a game favored by -143 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 58.8%.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 39 of its 70 chances.
- The Red Sox are 34-36-0 against the spread in their 70 chances this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (43.5%) in those games.
- This year, New York has won six of 12 games when listed as at least +122 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 45% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of its 70 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Yankees are 38-32-0 against the spread in their 70 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton
- Paxton and his team have a record of 1-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up no earned runs in six innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
- Paxton has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his six chances this season.
- Paxton’s team has a record of 1-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Paxton has started, his team is 2-4.
- Games started by Paxton have a 3-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 23 | 40.2 | 29 | 2.43 | 8 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 22 | 22.2 | 26 | 3.18 | 0 | 14 |
| Chris Martin | 21 | 20.2 | 18 | 2.18 | 12 | 1 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 17 | 20.1 | 18 | 2.66 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino
- Severino (0-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his sixth of the season.
- The righty’s most recent appearance was on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Severino will try to record his third game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
- He has not made an appearance so far in 2023 where he did not give up at least one earned run.
- The Yankees were named the moneyline underdog for two Severino starts this season — they split the games.
- Severino’s team is 3-2 in his five starts.
- Severino’s starts went over the run total three times in five games with a set total this season.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 30 | 27.1 | 24 | 2.63 | 8 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 29 | 29 | 36 | 1.86 | 4 | 8 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 27 | 31.2 | 38 | 3.41 | 6 | 1 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 25 | 27.2 | 31 | 3.58 | 7 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 25 | 33 | 34 | 3.27 | 3 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox are 15-9 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
- Boston has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 12-8 in those outings.
- The club is 27-22 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Boston is 29-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have drawn five or more walks in 20 games this season, and are 10-10 in those contests.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They have won 34 of the 45 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-2.
- They have a record of 33-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 30-11.
- In 18 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-6
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-143)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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