The Arizona Diamondbacks (42-28) host the Cleveland Guardians (32-37) at 10:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Diamondbacks (-109 on the moneyline) play the Guardians (-109) in an expected tight contest. The game’s over/under is 9.5.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of June 17, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Favorite | -109 | -109 | 9.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have won 23, or 69.7%, of the 33 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Arizona is 23-11 this season when entering a game favored by -109 or more on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have a 52.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Arizona has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 33 of 70 chances this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 43-27-0 against the spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.75 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (42.4%) in those contests.
- Cleveland has a mark of 14-19 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over in 28 of its 69 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Guardians are 34-35-0 against the spread in their 69 games that had a posted line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.21 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Tommy Henry
- Henry and his team are 5-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Henry has made five starts of five or more innings in nine chances this season, and averages 5 frames when he pitches.
- He has made 10 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Henry starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-1.
- Henry’s team has a 7-2 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Henry’s nine starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 30 | 36.1 | 42 | 2.72 | 12 | 2 |
| Andrew Chafin | 29 | 25.1 | 38 | 2.84 | 9 | 8 |
| Kyle Nelson | 28 | 25.2 | 31 | 2.45 | 6 | 0 |
| Miguel Castro | 28 | 28.2 | 25 | 3.77 | 8 | 7 |
| José Ruiz | 25 | 31 | 29 | 5.52 | 1 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Shane Bieber
- The Guardians are sending Bieber (5-3) out to make his 15th start of the season. He is 5-3 with a 3.29 ERA and 64 strikeouts through 87 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Houston Astros, when the righty threw seven scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
- Bieber will try to prolong a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 innings per appearance).
- He has had three appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Guardians were the moneyline underdog for three Bieber starts this season — they lost every time.
- Bieber’s team has a 6-8 record in his starts this season.
- Bieber has had 14 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those games hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 32 | 33.1 | 30 | 2.7 | 0 | 21 |
| Trevor Stephan | 30 | 30 | 33 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 29 | 28 | 26 | 3.21 | 4 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 25 | 28.1 | 30 | 1.91 | 4 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 23 | 24.2 | 24 | 2.92 | 2 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have a 21-7 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Arizona has gone 17-5 in its 22 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 41-13 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Arizona is 41-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Diamondbacks have drawn at least five walks in 28 games this season, and are 14-14 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 10 games this season and are 8-2 in those matchups.
- Cleveland has gone 7-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 39 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 20-19.
- Cleveland has a 16-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 10-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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