Twins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 17, 2023

The Detroit Tigers (29-39) meet the Minnesota Twins (35-35), a game after Matt Vierling went deep twice in a 7-1 victory over the Twins, at 2:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Twins are the home favorite (-182) versus the Tigers (+152). The total for this game is set at 9.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Twins -182 +152 9

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in 41 games this season and won 26 (63.4%) of those contests.
  • This season Minnesota has won four of its nine games, or 44.4%, when favored by at least -182 on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have a 64.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of 70 games with a total.
  • The Twins are 33-37-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 12
ERA 4.86
K/9 9.4

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 63 games this year and have walked away with the win 26 times (41.3%) in those games.
  • This year, Detroit has won 12 of 29 games when listed as at least +152 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 37 of its 69 opportunities.
  • In 69 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 38-31-0 against the spread.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 15
ERA 4.96
K/9 7.8

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Jose De Leon

  • The 30-year-old right-hander will make his first start after pitching in relief 10 times this season.
  • De Leon did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 30 29 32 3.41 7 1
Jorge López 27 27 22 5.00 6 3
Jovani Moran 24 28 31 4.50 7 0
Jhoan Duran 24 26 35 1.38 1 8
Emilio Pagán 23 29.1 28 4.30 0 0

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz

  • The Tigers will send Wentz (1-6) to the mound for his 13th start of the season. He is 1-6 with a 7.23 ERA and 48 strikeouts through 56 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance — in relief on Sunday — the lefty threw 4 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, allowing two earned runs while surrendering one hit.
  • Wentz heads into this matchup with five outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • So far during the 2023 campaign he has allowed at least one earned run in each of his appearances.
  • The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in 13 of Wentz’s starts this season, and they went 6-7 in those games.
  • Wentz’s team has won five of his 12 starts.
  • Wentz has had 13 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those matchups finished over the total.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 29 29.1 24 2.45 11 2
Alex Lange 28 28.1 38 3.18 2 10
José Cisnero 27 25.2 27 2.45 6 1
Chasen Shreve 26 25.2 27 4.21 8 0
Will Vest 20 26.1 28 3.08 3 0

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins are 30-6 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Minnesota has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 22-1 in those outings.
  • The club has put up eight or more hits in 44 games this season, and is 35-9 in those contests.
  • Minnesota has a 36-4 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Twins are 16-10 in the 26 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 16 games this season and are 9-7 in those matchups.
  • In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-4.
  • They have won 28 of the 38 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has a 25-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 14-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Twins vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-182)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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