The Miami Marlins (39-31) and Washington Nationals (27-41) meet on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET.
As the favorite, the Marlins (-170 on the moneyline to win) take the field at the Nationals (+145). The over/under for this game is 9.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of June 17, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -170 | +145 | 9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won 19, or 61.3%, of the 31 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Miami has entered six games this season favored by -170 or more and is 5-1 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 63%.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of 70 opportunities.
- The Marlins have an ATS record of 32-38-0 in 70 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 25, or 38.5%, of the 65 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 14 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 40.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 32 of its 68 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 40-28-0 against the spread in their 68 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.38 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett’s team is 6-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander allowed three hits in 5 1/3 scoreless innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Sunday.
- Garrett will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 13 chances this season.
- When Garrett starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-1.
- In games Garrett has started, his team is 8-3.
- Out of Garrett’s 11 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 30 | 30.2 | 37 | 2.35 | 5 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | 28 | 33 | 47 | 2.73 | 11 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 26 | 27 | 28 | 4.33 | 6 | 7 |
| Steven Okert | 21 | 22.2 | 33 | 1.99 | 5 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 19 | 19.2 | 25 | 2.75 | 0 | 8 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin
- Irvin (1-3 with a 5.81 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 31 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his eighth of the season.
- The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday, June 6 against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he tossed four innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Irvin has put up two starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his seven appearances this season.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Irvin’s starts this season, and they went 2-5 in those games.
- Irvin’s team is 2-5 in his seven starts.
- Irvin has started seven contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 31 | 30.2 | 23 | 3.23 | 13 | 2 |
| Hunter Harvey | 28 | 29.2 | 35 | 3.34 | 11 | 3 |
| Mason Thompson | 27 | 35.1 | 30 | 3.31 | 3 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 26 | 26.2 | 30 | 4.39 | 3 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 16 | 23.2 | 23 | 5.32 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 8-17 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
- Miami has gone 12-1 in its 13 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits in 60 games this season, and is 34-26 in those contests.
- Miami is 26-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 7-11 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 13 games this season and are 8-5 in those matchups.
- Washington has gone 9-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 24-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has won 18 of its 27 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 7-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+145)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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