The Cincinnati Reds (35-35) take a six-game win streak into a home contest versus the Houston Astros (39-31), at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Reds are an away underdog (+103) against the Astros (-121). The total for this game is 8.5.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of June 17, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -121 | +103 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 27, or 54%, of those games.
- Houston has entered 44 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 25-19 in those contests.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 54.8% chance to win.
- Houston’s games have gone over the total in 33 of its 70 chances.
- The Astros are 34-36-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.16 |
| K/9 | 7 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with 26 wins in the 54 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 20 times in 46 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 49.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 39 of 70 chances this season.
- The Reds are 41-29-0 against the spread in their 70 games that had a posted line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Brandon Bielak
- Bielak’s team is 3-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed nine hits in five innings pitched against the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday.
- Bielak has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has not pitched this season without allowing at least one earned run.
- Bielak’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Bielak’s team has a 3-4 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Bielak have a 1-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 31 | 33.2 | 51 | 1.87 | 10 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 29 | 33 | 34 | 1.64 | 4 | 0 |
| Rafael Montero | 29 | 28.2 | 32 | 5.65 | 4 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 27 | 28 | 32 | 1.29 | 13 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 27 | 28.1 | 31 | 3.49 | 0 | 12 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene gets the start for the Reds, his 14th of the season. He is 1-4 with a 4.01 ERA and 97 strikeouts in 67 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance came on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the right-hander threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Greene will try to build on a five-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per appearance).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 13 outings this season.
- The Reds are 3-5 in Greene’s eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Greene’s team has won four of his 13 starts.
- Greene’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 13 contests.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 29 | 32.1 | 26 | 3.06 | 6 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 29 | 33.2 | 29 | 2.41 | 5 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 28 | 29 | 50 | 1.86 | 1 | 18 |
| Alex Young | 28 | 27.2 | 31 | 2.93 | 8 | 0 |
| Lucas Sims | 23 | 24.2 | 28 | 2.92 | 9 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have put up two or more round-trippers in 19 games this season, and are 14-5 in those outings.
- Houston has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 14 games this season, and has gone 11-3 in those contests.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits 49 times this season, and has a 39-10 record in those games.
- Houston is 37-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Astros have drawn at least five walks in 20 games this season, and are 16-4 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 17 games this season and are 15-2 in those matchups.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-4.
- In 52 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 36-16.
- Cincinnati has won 39 of its 45 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 10 of their 27 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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