Braves vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 17, 2023

Eddie Rosario brings a two-game homer streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (44-26) game versus the Colorado Rockies (29-43) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, at Truist Park.

The Braves are heavily favored (-297 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at home against the Rockies (+245). The total in the game is 10 total runs.

The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of June 17, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -297 +245 10

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 60 games this season and won 38 (63.3%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has played as favorites of -297 or more once this season and won that game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 74.8% chance to win.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of its 70 games with a total this season.
  • The Braves have an ATS record of 33-37-0 in 70 games with a spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.8
HR 20
ERA 4.55
K/9 9

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 26 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Colorado has been listed as an underdog of +245 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 29% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Colorado’s games have gone over the total in 30 of its 72 opportunities.
  • The Rockies are 34-38-0 against the spread in their 72 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 9
ERA 5.46
K/9 7.1

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder

  • Elder and his team have a record of 6-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Washington Nationals.
  • Elder will look to finish five or more innings for the 14th start in a row.
  • He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 13 chances this season.
  • Elder’s team has won 70% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-3).
  • Elder’s team has a 9-4 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Elder has started this season, the teams are 4-8-1 at hitting the over.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 33 31.2 38 5.68 4 10
Nick Anderson 25 27.1 30 3.62 10 1
Joe Jiménez 23 23.1 29 3.47 4 0
Kirby Yates 23 25.1 34 3.2 4 0
Collin McHugh 20 29 19 2.79 5 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Connor Seabold

  • Seabold makes the start for the Rockies, his ninth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 42 strikeouts over 53 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent time out came on Monday against the Boston Red Sox, when he tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up six hits.
  • Seabold is looking for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 3.5 frames per start.
  • In three of his 15 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
  • The Rockies have a 4-4 record in Seabold’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Over Seabold’s eight starts, his team is 4-4.
  • Seabold has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those matchups.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Bird 31 45.2 46 3.35 4 0
Justin Lawrence 30 38 38 3.08 7 2
Brad Hand 29 26 34 3.46 2 0
Pierce Johnson 29 27 37 7 0 12
Brent Suter 28 39.2 31 2.5 2 0

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have a 25-9 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
  • Atlanta is undefeated in its 15 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has notched eight or more hits 50 times this season, and has a 35-15 record in those games.
  • Atlanta is 36-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Braves have gone 13-8 over the 21 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 9-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 10-9.
  • They have a record of 24-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Colorado has a 23-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won seven of their 10 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Braves vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-297)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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