Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 17, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (27-43) bring a six-game losing streak into a home matchup versus the New York Mets (33-36), at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Mets are favored at home (-161) against the Cardinals (+137). The game’s total is 9.

The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of June 17, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -161 +137 9

Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 49 times and won 26, or 53.1%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 10-13, a 43.5% win rate, when favored by -161 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 61.7%.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 32 of its 70 chances.
  • In 70 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 27-43-0 ATS.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 16
ERA 5.59
K/9 8.7

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have won in 10, or 37%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • St. Louis has played as an underdog of +137 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 42.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of its 70 opportunities.
  • In 70 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 28-42-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 13
ERA 5.42
K/9 7.5

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga

  • Senga and his team are 6-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up no earned runs in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Senga has started 12 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 10 times. He averages 5.4 innings per appearance.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 12 chances this season.
  • Senga’s team is 8-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Senga’s team has an 8-4 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Senga has started this season, the teams are 4-8-0 at hitting the over.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 29 26.2 26 4.05 7 5
David Robertson 27 30.1 40 1.78 6 10
Brooks Raley 27 22.2 25 2.78 13 1
Jeff Brigham 24 24.2 28 4.38 5 0
Dominic Leone 15 18 15 4 0 0

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright

  • The Cardinals are sending Wainwright (2-1) to the mound to make his eighth start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 5.79 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 37 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Cincinnati Reds, the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • Wainwright will try to build upon an eight-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing).
  • He has not made an appearance yet in 2023 that he did not give up at least one earned run.
  • The Cardinals have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Wainwright’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
  • Wainwright’s team is 3-4 over his seven starts.
  • Wainwright has had seven starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those outings finished over the total.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 29 31.2 33 4.55 7 0
Jordan Hicks 26 28.1 45 4.45 6 0
Chris Stratton 25 36.2 39 3.93 1 0
Génesis Cabrera 24 26.2 32 5.4 3 0
Giovanny Gallegos 24 26.2 26 4.05 5 8

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets have put up two or more long balls in 20 games this season, and are 9-11 in those outings.
  • New York has gone 5-4 in its nine games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up eight or more hits 40 times this season, and has a 26-14 record in those games.
  • New York is 26-12 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Mets have drawn five or more walks in 14 games this season, and are 7-7 in those contests.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 35 games this season and are 23-12 in those matchups.
  • St. Louis has won 20 of its 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 48 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-19.
  • In 33 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-7.
  • They have a 8-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-161)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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