Justin Turner leads the Boston Red Sox (35-35) into a contest against the New York Yankees (39-31) following his two-homer outing in a 15-5 victory over the Yankees. It begins at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.
The Red Sox are a home favorite (-132) against the Yankees (+113). The total for this game is set at 9.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 17, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -132 | +113 | 9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been favorites in 30 games this season and won 17 (56.7%) of those contests.
- Boston is 6-8 this season when entering a game favored by -132 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 56.9% chance to win.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of 70 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 34-36-0 ATS in their 70 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been underdogs in 23 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (43.5%) in those contests.
- This year, New York has won eight of 16 games when listed as at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of its 70 opportunities.
- The Yankees have posted a record of 38-32-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello’s team is 6-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- Bello will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Bello’s team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Bello’s team has a 6-4 record in his starts this season.
- In Bello’s 10 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 23 | 40.2 | 29 | 2.43 | 8 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 22 | 22.2 | 26 | 3.18 | 0 | 14 |
| Chris Martin | 21 | 20.2 | 18 | 2.18 | 12 | 1 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 17 | 20.1 | 18 | 2.66 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- Schmidt (2-6) takes the mound first for the Yankees in his 15th start of the season. He has a 4.70 ERA in 67 2/3 innings pitched, with 70 strikeouts.
- In his last appearance on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, the right-hander went 5 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Schmidt will try to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 4.8 innings per outing.
- In three of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Yankees are 1-4 in Schmidt’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Schmidt’s team has put together a 4-10 record over his 14 starts.
- Schmidt’s starts hit the over on the run total four times in 14 games with a set total this season.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 30 | 27.1 | 24 | 2.63 | 8 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 29 | 29 | 36 | 1.86 | 4 | 8 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 27 | 31.2 | 38 | 3.41 | 6 | 1 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 25 | 27.2 | 31 | 3.58 | 7 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 25 | 33 | 34 | 3.27 | 3 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have hit at least two homers in 24 games this season, and are 15-9 in those contests.
- Boston has put up five or more extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 12-8 in those contests.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 49 times this season, and has a 27-22 record in those games.
- Boston has a 29-9 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have drawn at least five walks in 20 games this season, and are 10-10 in those contests.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They have won 34 of the 45 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-2.
- They have a record of 33-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has a 30-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 12-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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