The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-34) take a four-game losing run into a road matchup versus the Milwaukee Brewers (35-34), at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Pirates are a favorite (-120) at the Brewers (+101). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of June 17, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -120 | +101 | 8.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have entered the game as favorites 18 times this season and won 12, or 66.7%, of those games.
- Pittsburgh has entered 17 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 11-6 in those contests.
- The Pirates have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of its 68 games with a total this season.
- In 68 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 33-35-0 ATS.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 6.70 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have come away with 15 wins in the 31 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Milwaukee has won 14 of 29 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 29 of its 69 opportunities.
- The Brewers are 30-39-0 against the spread in their 69 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 10 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller’s team is 10-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw seven innings against the New York Mets, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits.
- Keller has 13 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 14 chances this season.
- Keller’s team has a record of 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Keller’s team is 10-4 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Keller have an 8-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 29 | 31.2 | 43 | 1.71 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 25 | 25.1 | 31 | 1.78 | 0 | 14 |
| Jose Hernandez | 24 | 26.1 | 25 | 2.39 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 18 | 22.2 | 22 | 3.18 | 3 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley
- The Brewers will send Miley (3-2) out for his ninth start of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.67 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 41 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Tuesday, May 16 against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the lefty went 1 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing only one hit.
- Miley has pitched five or more innings in a game seven times this year entering this outing.
- He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Brewers are 3-2 in Miley’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Miley’s team has a 5-3 record in his starts this season.
- Miley has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those outings finished over the total.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 29 | 29.2 | 31 | 5.16 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 29 | 32.1 | 34 | 2.51 | 11 | 1 |
| Hoby Milner | 28 | 25.2 | 23 | 3.16 | 5 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 22 | 22.2 | 32 | 1.99 | 0 | 11 |
| Bryse Wilson | 22 | 35 | 28 | 2.83 | 2 | 3 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have hit two or more home runs in 20 games this season, and are 16-4 in those contests.
- Pittsburgh is 15-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 24-9 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Pittsburgh has a 21-4 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Pirates have drawn five or more walks in 21 games this season, and are 12-9 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 29 of the 35 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in five games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 26-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Milwaukee has won 34 of its 38 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Pirates vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+101)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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