Cubs vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 16, 2023

The Chicago Cubs (32-37) will attempt to keep a four-game win streak alive when they host the Baltimore Orioles (43-26) at 2:20 PM ET on Saturday.

The Orioles are road underdogs (+116) versus the Cubs (-138). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.

The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -138 +116 8

Cubs Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cubs have been favored 32 times and won 17, or 53.1%, of those games.
  • Chicago has a record of 7-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -138 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 35 of its 69 chances.
  • The Cubs are 36-33-0 against the spread in their 69 chances this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 7
ERA 4.29
K/9 8.3

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been victorious in 17, or 48.6%, of the 35 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 7-9 when favored by +116 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 46.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 34 of its 69 opportunities.
  • The Orioles are 42-27-0 against the spread in their 69 games that had a posted line this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 15
ERA 4.40
K/9 9.0

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele

  • Steele’s team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, May 31, when he threw three innings against the Tampa Bay Rays without allowing a run or hit.
  • Steele has 10 starts of five or more innings this season in 12 chances. He averages 5.7 innings per outing.
  • He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 12 chances this season.
  • Steele’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-2.
  • In games Steele has started, his team is 6-6.
  • Out of Steele’s 12 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Fulmer 28 29.1 35 5.52 5 1
Julian Merryweather 28 29.1 42 3.38 2 0
Mark Leiter Jr. 26 27.2 43 2.93 11 3
Adbert Alzolay 23 31 31 2.03 7 3
Michael Rucker 21 26.1 30 4.78 0 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson

  • Gibson (8-3 with a 3.90 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 83 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Orioles, his 15th of the season.
  • In his last time out on Sunday, the righty threw 6 1/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Gibson will look to extend a nine-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 innings per appearance).
  • In one of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
  • The Orioles have a 4-3 record in Gibson’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Gibson’s team has compiled a 9-5 record in his 14 starts.
  • Gibson has started 14 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in six of them.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 31 36.1 38 4.21 3 0
Bryan Baker 30 28.2 35 3.45 10 0
Felix Bautista 29 32.1 66 1.11 0 18
Yeinier Cano 28 35 34 1.03 15 4
Danny Coulombe 27 22.1 32 2.82 12 0

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs have put up at least two dingers in 25 games this season, and are 14-11 in those contests.
  • Chicago has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 12 games this season, and has gone 10-2 in those outings.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits in 47 games this season, and is 33-14 in those contests.
  • Chicago is 25-6 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Cubs have drawn at least five walks in 28 games this season, and are 14-14 in those contests.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They have won 21 of the 30 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Baltimore has won 18 of its 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 46 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-15.
  • Baltimore has won 32 of its 40 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 16-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Cubs vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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