Twins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 16, 2023

The Minnesota Twins (35-34) play the Detroit Tigers (28-39) on Friday at Target Field, at 8:10 PM ET.

The Tigers are an underdog (+211 on the moneyline) when they take on the Twins (-255). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of June 16, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Twins -255 +211 8

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in 40 games this season and won 26 (65%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has a record of 2-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -255 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 71.8% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of its 69 games with a total this season.
  • The Twins are 33-36-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 12
ERA 4.34
K/9 9.2

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have come away with 25 wins in the 62 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Detroit has a win-loss record of 2-5 when favored by +211 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 32.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of its 68 opportunities.
  • The Tigers are 37-31-0 against the spread in their 68 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 13
ERA 5.73
K/9 7.7

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Joe Ryan

  • Ryan’s team is 8-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday.
  • Ryan will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • He has made 13 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
  • When Ryan starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-4.
  • Ryan’s team has won eight of his 13 starts.
  • Games Ryan has started this season hit the over nine times in 13 chances.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 30 29 32 3.41 7 1
Jorge López 27 27 22 5.00 6 3
Jovani Moran 24 28 31 4.50 7 0
Jhoan Duran 24 26 35 1.38 1 8
Emilio Pagán 23 29.1 28 4.30 0 0

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Will Vest

  • The Tigers will look to Vest (2-0) to open the game and make his third start of the season.
  • The righty last appeared in relief on Thursday, when he threw one scoreless inning against the Minnesota Twins without surrendering a hit.
  • He is looking to keep a streak of two games without allowing an earned run intact.
  • The Tigers were the underdog on the moneyline for two Vest starts this season — they lost both.
  • His team has lost both of the matchups he’s appeared in this season.
  • Vest’s two starts with a total this season both went over.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 29 29.1 24 2.45 11 2
Alex Lange 28 28.1 38 3.18 2 10
José Cisnero 26 24.2 25 2.55 6 1
Chasen Shreve 25 24.2 26 4.38 8 0
Will Vest 20 25.1 26 3.20 3 0

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins are 30-6 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
  • Minnesota has put up at least five extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 22-1 in those outings.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits in 44 games this season, and is 35-9 in those contests.
  • Minnesota is 36-4 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Twins have gone 16-10 over the 26 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They are 8-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-4.
  • They have won 27 of the 37 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has a 24-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 14-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Twins vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-255)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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