Braves vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 16, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (43-26) bring a three-game winning streak into a home matchup versus the Colorado Rockies (29-42) at 7:20 PM ET on Friday.

The Braves are the home favorite (-241) versus the Rockies (+201). The matchup has an over/under set at 10.5 total runs.

The insights in this article reference odds valid as of June 16, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -241 +201 10.5

Braves Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 37 out of the 59 games, or 62.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 9-4 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -241 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 70.7% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 39 of its 69 chances.
  • The Braves are 32-37-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.6
HR 18
ERA 4.85
K/9 9.0

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 26 wins in the 62 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Colorado has been a moneyline underdog of -241 or longer eight times, losing every contest.
  • The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 33.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over in 30 of its 71 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rockies are 34-37-0 against the spread in their 71 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 9
ERA 5.60
K/9 8.0

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Jared Shuster

  • Shuster and his team have a record of 4-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
  • Shuster will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
  • He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
  • Shuster’s team has a record of 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Shuster’s team has a 3-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Shuster have a 2-4-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 33 31.2 38 5.68 4 10
Nick Anderson 25 27.1 30 3.62 10 1
Joe Jiménez 23 23.1 29 3.47 4 0
Kirby Yates 22 24 31 3.38 4 0
Collin McHugh 20 29 19 2.79 5 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Dinelson Lamet

  • Lamet gets the start for the Rockies, his fourth of the season. He is 1-3 with a 10.38 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Sunday against the San Diego Padres, when the righty went five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Lamet will try to pick up his second game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 1.4 innings per appearance.
  • He has had four appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Rockies are 1-2 in Lamet’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Lamet’s team has put together a 1-2 record over his three starts.
  • Lamet’s starts went over the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 30 38 38 3.08 7 2
Jake Bird 30 43.2 45 3.50 4 0
Brad Hand 29 26 34 3.46 2 0
Pierce Johnson 29 27 37 7.00 0 12
Brent Suter 28 39.2 31 2.50 2 0

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves are 24-9 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
  • Atlanta has won each of its 15 games this season when putting up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits 50 times this season, and has a 35-15 record in those games.
  • Atlanta is 35-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 20 games this season, and are 12-8 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 9-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Colorado has won 10 of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 24 of the 49 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 29 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 23-6.
  • They have won seven of their 10 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Braves vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-241)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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