Rays vs. Padres Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 16, 2023

The San Diego Padres (33-35) are looking for another strong showing from a slugger on a roll against the Tampa Bay Rays (50-22) on Friday at 9:40 PM ET, at PETCO Park. Manny Machado is riding a two-game homer streak.

The Rays are favored (-117) in an expected close game against the Padres (-101). The game’s total is set at 8.5.

The insights in this article use the latest odds as of June 16, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Padres Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -117 -101 8.5

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have entered the game as favorites 64 times this season and won 46, or 71.9%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 45-14 this season when entering a game favored by -117 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 39 of its 72 chances.
  • The Rays are 43-29-0 ATS in their 72 games with a spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 12
ERA 2.76
K/9 10

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have come away with eight wins in the 21 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • San Diego has a mark of 5-10 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of its 68 opportunities.
  • The Padres are 33-35-0 against the spread in their 68 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5
HR 15
ERA 3.74
K/9 9.3

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Shane McClanahan

  • McClanahan and his team are 10-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • McClanahan will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
  • In 14 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
  • McClanahan’s team is 12-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • McClanahan’s team is 12-2 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by McClanahan have an 8-5-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 30 30.1 40 2.67 7 10
Colin Poche 29 26.2 19 2.36 11 1
Jake Diekman 27 22.1 21 5.64 7 0
Kevin Kelly 26 31 27 3.48 8 2
Robert Stephenson 23 18.2 23 4.34 8 0

Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish

  • The Padres are sending Darvish (5-4) to make his 13th start of the season. He is 5-4 with a 4.30 ERA and 74 strikeouts through 69 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday, June 10, the right-hander went 5 1/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, allowing four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Darvish is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.8 frames per start.
  • In one of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
  • The Padres have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Darvish’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
  • Darvish’s team has a 6-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Darvish’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in five of 12 games.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Steven Wilson 30 33 37 2.73 13 0
Tim Hill 29 28.1 18 3.18 7 0
Josh Hader 27 26.1 37 1.37 0 16
Brent Honeywell Jr. 23 33.1 32 3.78 3 0
Luís Garcia 22 20.2 20 5.23 7 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have a 29-9 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
  • Tampa Bay is 22-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 38-19 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
  • Tampa Bay is 38-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rays are 17-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Padres Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 28 games this season and are 14-14 in those matchups.
  • In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-6.
  • In 35 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 26-9.
  • San Diego has a 27-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 18-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rays vs. Padres Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-117)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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