The Milwaukee Brewers (34-34) have dropped six games in a row as they prepare to square off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-33), who have dropped three straight. Friday’s matchup at American Family Field starts at 8:10 PM ET.
A projected close matchup features the Brewers (-119 moneyline odds to win) against the Pirates (-101). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The insights in this article reflect odds as of June 16, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -119 | -101 | 8.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 19 (51.4%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee has a record of 17-13, a 56.7% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 28 of 68 chances this season.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 29-39-0 in 68 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 22 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has a mark of 20-26 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 34 of its 67 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates are 33-34-0 against the spread in their 67 games that had a posted line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 6.31 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Julio Teheran
- When Teheran starts, his team is 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in seven innings pitched against the Oakland Athletics on Saturday.
- Teheran has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Teheran’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Teherán’s team has won one of his four starts this season.
- The teams have not yet hit the over in any of the four games Teheran has started this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 29 | 29.2 | 31 | 5.16 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 28 | 31.1 | 34 | 2.59 | 10 | 1 |
| Hoby Milner | 28 | 25.2 | 23 | 3.16 | 5 | 0 |
| Bryse Wilson | 22 | 35 | 28 | 2.83 | 2 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 21 | 21.2 | 30 | 2.08 | 0 | 10 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill makes the start for the Pirates, his 14th of the season. He is 6-5 with a 4.35 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 72 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Friday, June 9, the lefty went seven innings against the New York Mets, giving up two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Hill will aim to go five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in nine of Hill’s starts this season, and they went 4-5 in those matchups.
- Hill’s team has won seven of his 13 starts.
- Hill has had 13 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those games finished over the total.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 28 | 30 | 41 | 1.80 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 25 | 25.1 | 31 | 1.78 | 0 | 14 |
| Jose Hernandez | 24 | 26.1 | 25 | 2.39 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 18 | 22.2 | 22 | 3.18 | 3 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have put up at least two home runs in 35 games this season, and are 29-6 in those outings.
- Milwaukee has won each of its five games this season when putting up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 35 games this season, and is 26-9 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is 33-4 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers have drawn five or more walks in 24 games this season, and are 17-7 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 16-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has gone 15-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 33 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 24-9.
- In 25 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 21-4.
- In 20 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-8
Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-119)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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