Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 16, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (38-32) match up with the Texas Rangers (42-26) after Danny Jansen hit a pair of home runs in a 4-2 defeat to the Orioles. The game starts at 8:05 PM ET on Friday.

As the favorite, the Blue Jays (-151 moneyline odds) play at the Rangers (+128). The over/under for this game is 9.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of June 16, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -151 +128 9

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have won 27 out of the 49 games, or 55.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Toronto has entered 22 games this season favored by -151 or more and is 13-9 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 60.2% chance to win.
  • Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of 70 opportunities.
  • The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 33-37-0 in 70 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 13
ERA 4.96
K/9 10.2

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (57.7%) in those games.
  • Texas has a mark of 5-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +128 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Texas has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 39 of 68 chances this season.
  • The Rangers have posted a record of 42-26-0 against the spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 13
ERA 4.65
K/9 8.1

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman

  • When Gausman starts, his team is 5-9-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • Gausman has 11 starts of five or more innings this season in 14 chances. He averages 6.2 innings per outing.
  • He has made 14 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Gausman’s team has been victorious in 61.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-5.
  • Gausman’s team has won eight of his 14 starts.
  • In games Gausman has started this season, the teams are 6-8-0 at hitting the over.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 32 23.2 24 1.52 6 1
Erik Swanson 31 32.2 40 2.76 16 1
Yimi Garcia 29 28.2 35 5.65 8 0
Jordan Romano 28 28 34 2.89 1 19
Anthony Bass 21 20 19 4.95 1 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Martin Perez

  • Perez gets the start for the Rangers, his 14th of the season. He is 6-2 with a 4.67 ERA and 51 strikeouts through 71 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty’s last appearance came on Sunday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, surrendering seven earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
  • Perez is looking to record his 11th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
  • In two of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Rangers are 4-2 in Pérez’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pérez’s team is 9-4 in his 13 starts.
  • Perez has started 13 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Will Smith 24 26 29 3.12 4 11
Brock Burke 21 27.1 23 3.29 7 0
José Leclerc 20 21.1 23 3.80 1 1
Josh Sborz 18 25.2 36 3.16 5 0
Dane Dunning 8 58.2 36 2.76 3 0

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have a 15-8 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
  • Toronto has had five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and has gone 9-1 in those contests.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits 60 times this season, and has a 38-22 record in those games.
  • Toronto has a 29-9 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Blue Jays have gone 11-5 in the 16 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 25-7 in those matchups.
  • In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-9.
  • They have a record of 44-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Texas has won 40 of its 52 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 16 of their 28 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (+128)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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