The Miami Marlins (38-31) and Washington Nationals (27-40) clash in NL East play, on Friday at 7:05 PM ET.
The Marlins are favored away from home (-155) versus the Nationals (+132). The game’s total is 8.5.
The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of June 16, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -155 | +132 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 18, or 60%, of those games.
- Miami has a record of 11-1, a 91.7% win rate, when favored by -155 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Marlins have a 60.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of its 69 games with a total this season.
- The Marlins are 32-37-0 against the spread in their 69 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 64 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (39.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 17 times in 43 chances when named as an underdog of at least +132 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 43.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of its 67 opportunities.
- In 67 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 39-28-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.17 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara’s team is 3-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw seven innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Alcantara has 10 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
- Alcantara’s team is 4-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Alcantara’s team is 5-8 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Alcantara have an 8-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 29 | 29 | 34 | 2.48 | 5 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | 27 | 32 | 45 | 2.81 | 10 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 26 | 27 | 28 | 4.33 | 6 | 7 |
| Steven Okert | 21 | 22.2 | 33 | 1.99 | 5 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 18 | 18.2 | 24 | 2.89 | 0 | 7 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- The Nationals are sending Williams (3-4) out for his 14th start of the season. He is 3-4 with a 4.11 ERA and 52 strikeouts over 65 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Sunday against the Atlanta Braves, the right-hander threw five innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Williams will look to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.0 frames per outing.
- He has made two appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 13 of Williams’ starts this season, and they went 7-6 in those games.
- Williams’ team has a 7-6 record in his starts this season.
- Williams’ starts hit the over on the run total four times in 13 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 30 | 29.2 | 22 | 3.03 | 13 | 2 |
| Hunter Harvey | 28 | 29.2 | 35 | 3.34 | 11 | 3 |
| Mason Thompson | 26 | 34.1 | 29 | 3.41 | 3 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 26 | 26.2 | 30 | 4.39 | 3 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 16 | 23.2 | 23 | 5.32 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have an 8-17 record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
- Miami has had at least five extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 12-1 in those contests.
- The club has notched at least eight hits 59 times this season, and has a 33-26 record in those games.
- Miami is 25-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 7-11 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won eight of the 13 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won nine of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 24 of the 43 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 26 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 18-8.
- They have won seven of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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