Cubs vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 16, 2023

The Chicago Cubs (31-37) bring a three-game win streak into a home matchup versus the Baltimore Orioles (43-25) at 2:20 PM ET on Friday.

The Orioles are an underdog (+104 on the moneyline) when they take the field at the Cubs (-123). The game’s total is set at 8.5.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of June 16, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -123 +104 8.5

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been favorites in 31 games this season and won 16 (51.6%) of those contests.
  • Chicago has a record of 11-9, a 55% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of its 68 games with a total this season.
  • In 68 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 35-33-0 ATS.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 4
ERA 4.55
K/9 8.0

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 34 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (50%) in those games.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 13-12 when favored by +104 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 33 of 68 chances this season.
  • In 68 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 42-26-0 against the spread.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 16
ERA 3.64
K/9 9.6

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Kyle Hendricks

  • When Hendricks starts, his team is 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in eight innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
  • Hendricks has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • This will be Hendricks’ first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • Hendricks’ team has won two of his four starts.
  • In games Hendricks has started this season, the teams are 1-3-0 at hitting the over.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Julian Merryweather 28 29.1 42 3.38 2 0
Michael Fulmer 27 28.1 33 5.72 4 1
Mark Leiter Jr. 26 27.2 43 2.93 11 3
Adbert Alzolay 23 31 31 2.03 7 3
Michael Rucker 21 26.1 30 4.78 0 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Cole Irvin

  • Irvin gets the start for the Orioles, his fifth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 7.85 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, the left-hander went 5 1/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
  • Irvin will look to collect his second game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 3.6 innings per appearance.
  • In one of his five total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
  • The Orioles were the moneyline underdog for two Irvin starts this season — they lost both.
  • Irvin’s team has won two of his four starts.
  • Irvin has had four starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in two of those matchups.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 30 35.1 38 3.82 3 0
Bryan Baker 30 28.2 35 3.45 10 0
Felix Bautista 29 32.1 66 1.11 0 18
Yeinier Cano 28 35 34 1.03 15 4
Danny Coulombe 27 22.1 32 2.82 12 0

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs are 13-11 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Chicago has gone 9-2 in its 11 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits in 46 games this season, and is 32-14 in those contests.
  • Chicago is 24-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Cubs are 13-14 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 30 games this season and are 21-9 in those matchups.
  • In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-2.
  • They have won 31 of the 45 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 40 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 32-8.
  • They have won 16 of their 19 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cubs vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-123)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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