The Boston Red Sox (34-35) host the New York Yankees (39-30) to open a three-game series at Fenway Park, with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET on Friday. The Red Sox are on the back of a series defeat to the Rockies, and the Yankees a series win over the Mets.
The Yankees are an underdog (+107 moneyline odds) when they visit the Red Sox (-126). The game’s over/under is set at 10.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of June 16, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -126 | +107 | 10 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- This season, the Red Sox have been favored 29 times and won 16, or 55.2%, of those games.
- Boston is 8-8 this season when entering a game favored by -126 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 55.8% chance to win.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of 69 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 33-36-0 against the spread in their 69 chances this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.80 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won in 10, or 45.5%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has a win-loss record of 9-10 when favored by +107 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 48.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 30 of 69 chances this season.
- The Yankees are 38-31-0 against the spread in their 69 games that had a posted line this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 2.67 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Tanner Houck
- When Houck starts, his team is 5-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in six innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Saturday.
- Houck has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
- Houck has started three games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- Houck’s team is 5-7 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Houck have a 5-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 23 | 40.2 | 29 | 2.43 | 8 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 22 | 22.2 | 26 | 3.18 | 0 | 14 |
| Chris Martin | 21 | 20.2 | 18 | 2.18 | 12 | 1 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 16 | 19.1 | 18 | 2.79 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Domingo German
- German (4-3 with a 3.49 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 67 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his 13th of the season.
- His last appearance was on Saturday against the Boston Red Sox, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing six hits.
- German will try to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Yankees have a 4-1 record in Germán’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Germán’s team has a 7-5 record in his starts this season.
- Germán’s starts went over the run total four times in 12 games with a set total this season.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 30 | 27.1 | 24 | 2.63 | 8 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 29 | 29 | 36 | 1.86 | 4 | 8 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 27 | 31.2 | 38 | 3.41 | 6 | 1 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 25 | 27.2 | 31 | 3.58 | 7 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 24 | 31.1 | 32 | 3.45 | 3 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have hit two or more dingers in 23 games this season, and are 14-9 in those outings.
- Boston has put up five or more extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 11-8 in those outings.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 48 games this season, and is 26-22 in those contests.
- Boston is 28-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have drawn five or more walks in 20 games this season, and are 10-10 in those contests.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 45 games this season and are 34-11 in those matchups.
- New York has gone 8-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 33 of the 47 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 40 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 30-10.
- They have a 12-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-126)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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