The Chicago Cubs (30-37) hope to sweep a three-game series versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-32), at 8:05 PM ET on Thursday.
The favored Cubs (-152 moneyline odds to win) play at home against the Pirates (+129). The matchup has an over/under set at 7 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 15, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -152 | +129 | 7 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been favorites in 30 games this season and won 15 (50%) of those contests.
- Chicago has entered nine games this season favored by -152 or more and is 4-5 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of its 67 games with a total this season.
- The Cubs are 34-33-0 against the spread in their 67 chances this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 22 wins in the 48 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 9-12 when favored by +129 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of its 66 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Pirates are 33-33-0 against the spread in their 66 games that had a posted line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.93 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman
- When Stroman starts, his team is 7-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
- Stroman has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 14 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Stroman’s team is 4-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Stroman’s team has an 8-6 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Stroman’s 14 starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 27 | 28.1 | 33 | 5.72 | 4 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 27 | 28.1 | 39 | 3.49 | 2 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 26 | 27.2 | 43 | 2.93 | 11 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 23 | 31 | 31 | 2.03 | 7 | 3 |
| Michael Rucker | 20 | 25.1 | 29 | 4.97 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- Oviedo (3-5 with a 4.16 ERA and 63 strikeouts in 71 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Pirates, his 14th of the season.
- The righty’s last time out came on Saturday against the New York Mets, when he threw 6 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Oviedo will look to extend a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per appearance).
- He has had one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Pirates are 3-6 in Oviedo’s nine starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Oviedo’s team is 6-7 over his 13 starts.
- Oviedo’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 13 contests.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 28 | 30 | 41 | 1.80 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 25 | 25.1 | 31 | 1.78 | 0 | 14 |
| Colin Holderman | 25 | 24.2 | 28 | 4.01 | 12 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 23 | 26 | 25 | 2.08 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have a 13-11 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- Chicago has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and has gone 9-2 in those contests.
- The club is 31-14 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Chicago is 23-6 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Cubs have drawn five or more walks in 26 games this season, and are 12-14 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 16-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-2.
- They have won 24 of the 33 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has won 21 of its 25 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 12 of their 20 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-152)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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