Josh Naylor takes a 13-game hitting streak into the Cleveland Guardians’ (31-36) game versus the San Diego Padres (33-34), at 8:40 PM ET on Thursday, at PETCO Park.
The Padres are the home favorite (-126) versus the Guardians (+107). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of June 15, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -126 | +107 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 45 games this season and won 25 (55.6%) of those contests.
- San Diego has a record of 21-17, a 55.3% win rate, when favored by -126 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 55.8% chance to win.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 22 of its 67 chances.
- The Padres are 33-34-0 ATS in their 67 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have come away with 13 wins in the 31 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cleveland has been victorious 10 times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of its 67 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Guardians have an against the spread record of 33-34-0 in 67 games with a line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.39 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Ryan Weathers
- Weathers and his team have a record of 2-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in three innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies on Saturday.
- In eight starts, Weathers has pitched through or past the fifth inning five times. He has a season average of 3.8 frames per outing.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 10 chances this season.
- When Weathers starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1.
- Weathers’ team has won four of his eight starts.
- In Weathers’ eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 30 | 33 | 37 | 2.73 | 13 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 29 | 28.1 | 18 | 3.18 | 7 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 27 | 26.1 | 37 | 1.37 | 0 | 16 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 22 | 32.1 | 31 | 3.90 | 3 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 21 | 19.2 | 20 | 5.49 | 7 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen
- Allen gets the start for the Guardians, his 10th of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander’s most recent time out was on Friday against the Houston Astros, when he threw six innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Allen is looking for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 innings per start.
- In one of his nine total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Guardians have a 4-1 record in Allen’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Allen’s team is 6-3 in his nine starts.
- Allen’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in three of nine games.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 31 | 32 | 29 | 2.81 | 0 | 20 |
| Trevor Stephan | 29 | 28.1 | 32 | 2.54 | 10 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 28 | 26.1 | 23 | 3.08 | 4 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 24 | 27.1 | 30 | 1.65 | 3 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 22 | 23.2 | 23 | 3.04 | 2 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have hit two or more round-trippers in 28 games this season, and are 14-14 in those contests.
- San Diego is 11-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 26-8 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- San Diego is 27-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Padres are 18-10 in the 28 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They are 8-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cleveland has won seven of its 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 19-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cleveland has a 15-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 10-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-126)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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