The Philadelphia Phillies (34-34) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (41-27) at 3:40 PM ET on Thursday, a game featuring two of the league’s most consistent batters. Nicholas Castellanos has an average of .315 (fifth in league) for the Phillies, while Corbin Carroll is fourth at .316 for the Diamondbacks.
The Phillies are the road favorite (-131) versus the Diamondbacks (+112). The game’s over/under is 9.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 15, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -131 | +112 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 39 times this season and won 21, or 53.8%, of those games.
- Philadelphia is 17-11 this season when entering a game favored by -131 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of 68 games with a total.
- The Phillies are 31-37-0 against the spread in their 68 chances this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (54.3%) in those games.
- This season, Arizona has been victorious 13 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 47.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of its 68 opportunities.
- The Diamondbacks are 41-27-0 against the spread in their 68 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.34 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 5-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed seven hits in 6 1/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday.
- Nola has pitched five or more innings in 13 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 14 chances this season.
- Nola’s team is 5-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Nola’s team has won six of his 14 starts this season.
- In Nola’s 14 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 31 | 26.1 | 26 | 4.44 | 9 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 29 | 26.1 | 28 | 5.13 | 10 | 1 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 28 | 26 | 41 | 4.85 | 3 | 9 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 20 | 30.1 | 25 | 1.78 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 17 | 17.1 | 29 | 2.08 | 4 | 6 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson
- Nelson (3-3) gets the starting nod for the Diamondbacks in his 14th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.95 ERA in 67 1/3 innings pitched, with 41 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers while surrendering four hits.
- Nelson is looking to secure his 11th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- He has made two appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Diamondbacks have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Nelson’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
- Nelson’s team has a 6-7 record in his starts this season.
- Nelson’s starts went over the run total seven times in 13 games with a set total this season.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 29 | 35.1 | 41 | 2.8 | 12 | 2 |
| Kyle Nelson | 27 | 25 | 31 | 2.52 | 6 | 0 |
| Miguel Castro | 27 | 27.1 | 24 | 3.95 | 8 | 7 |
| Andrew Chafin | 27 | 23.2 | 36 | 3.04 | 9 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 25 | 31 | 29 | 5.52 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 13-6 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Philadelphia is 13-5 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits in 46 games this season, and is 28-18 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 25-5 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 22 games this season, and are 16-6 in those contests.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They are 21-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Arizona has won 17 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 40-13 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Arizona has won 40 of its 47 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 13 of their 27 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+112)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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