Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 15, 2023

A pair of MLB’s best hitters face off when the Baltimore Orioles (42-25) and Toronto Blue Jays (38-31) meet at 1:05 PM ET on Thursday, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Austin Hays has a .304 batting average (ninth in league) for the Orioles, and Bo Bichette ranks fifth at .315.

The Orioles are a close favorite (-113 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field against the Blue Jays (-105). The over/under in the game is 9 total runs.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of June 15, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Orioles vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Orioles -113 -105 9

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won 25, or 75.8%, of the 33 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Baltimore has a record of 24-6 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -113 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 53.1% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of 67 games with a total.
  • The Orioles have an ATS record of 41-26-0 in 67 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 14
ERA 3.89
K/9 9.7

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been victorious in 11, or 55%, of the 20 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Toronto has won nine of 18 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 32 of its 69 opportunities.
  • The Blue Jays have posted a record of 33-36-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 13
ERA 4.90
K/9 10.2

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells

  • Wells’ team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
  • Wells has pitched five or more innings in 13 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • In 13 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
  • Wells’ team has won 77.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-2).
  • Wells’ team has an 8-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Wells have a 5-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 30 35.1 38 3.82 3 0
Bryan Baker 30 28.2 35 3.45 10 0
Felix Bautista 28 31 64 1.16 0 17
Danny Coulombe 27 22.1 32 2.82 12 0
Yeinier Cano 27 34 33 1.06 14 4

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi

  • The Blue Jays will send Kikuchi (6-2) to the mound to make his 14th start of the season. He is 6-2 with a 4.34 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 66 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Friday against the Minnesota Twins, the left-hander tossed five innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Kikuchi will try to go five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • He has made two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Blue Jays have a 3-1 record in Kikuchi’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Kikuchi’s team is 9-4 in his 13 starts.
  • Kikuchi has started 13 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 31 23.1 24 1.54 6 1
Erik Swanson 30 31.2 40 2.56 16 1
Jordan Romano 28 28 34 2.89 1 19
Yimi Garcia 28 27.2 33 5.53 8 0
Anthony Bass 21 20 19 4.95 1 0

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • The Orioles are 20-9 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
  • Baltimore is 18-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 30-14 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
  • Baltimore has a 32-8 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 19 games this season, and are 16-3 in those contests.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • They are 15-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-1.
  • They have won 38 of the 59 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Toronto has won 29 of its 38 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-5

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-113)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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