The Houston Astros (39-29) aim to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Washington Nationals (26-40), at 8:10 PM ET on Thursday.
The Astros are favored (-199 on the moneyline) when they take the field at home against the Nationals (+169). The over/under for the game is 8.5 total runs.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of June 15, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -199 | +169 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 27, or 56.2%, of the 48 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Houston has a record of 11-3, a 78.6% win rate, when favored by -199 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Astros have a 66.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of its 68 games with a total this season.
- The Astros are 34-34-0 ATS in their 68 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.30 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 24, or 38.1%, of the 63 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 9-13 when favored by +169 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 37.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 31 of its 66 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 38-28-0 against the spread in their 66 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier
- Javier’s team is 9-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings pitched against the Cleveland Guardians on Friday.
- Javier has pitched five or more innings in 13 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Javier’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-3).
- Javier’s team has won 10 of his 13 starts this season.
- Games Javier has started this season hit the over 10 times in 13 chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 30 | 32.2 | 51 | 1.93 | 10 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 28 | 27.2 | 31 | 5.86 | 4 | 1 |
| Phil Maton | 28 | 32.2 | 34 | 1.10 | 4 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 26 | 27 | 32 | 1.33 | 13 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 26 | 27.1 | 29 | 3.29 | 0 | 12 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore (3-5) gets the starting nod for the Nationals in his 14th start of the season. He has a 4.04 ERA in 69 2/3 innings pitched, with 83 strikeouts.
- The left-hander’s last time out came on Saturday against the Atlanta Braves, when he tossed five innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Gore will look to last five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 13 outings this season.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 12 of Gore’s starts this season, and they went 3-9 in those matchups.
- Gore’s team has compiled a 3-10 record over his 13 starts.
- Gore has had 13 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those outings.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 29 | 28.2 | 21 | 3.14 | 13 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 27 | 28.2 | 34 | 3.14 | 11 | 3 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 25 | 25.2 | 27 | 4.56 | 3 | 11 |
| Mason Thompson | 25 | 33 | 28 | 3.55 | 3 | 1 |
| Thad Ward | 16 | 23.2 | 23 | 5.32 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 14-5 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Houston has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 14 games this season, and has gone 11-3 in those contests.
- The club has put up at least eight hits in 49 games this season, and is 39-10 in those contests.
- Houston is 37-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Astros have drawn five or more walks in 20 games this season, and are 16-4 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 8-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-1.
- They have won 23 of the 42 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 18 of its 26 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 7-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Astros vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-199)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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