The Atlanta Braves (42-26) will look for Marcell Ozuna to extend a 10-game hitting streak versus the Colorado Rockies (29-41) on Thursday at 7:20 PM ET, at Truist Park.
The Braves are favored at home (-265) against the Rockies (+220). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of June 15, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -265 | +220 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 36 out of the 58 games, or 62.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta is 2-1 this season when entering a game favored by -265 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 38 of its 68 chances.
- The Braves are 31-37-0 against the spread in their 68 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 5.04 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have been victorious in 26, or 42.6%, of the 61 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Colorado has been a moneyline underdog of -265 or longer four times, losing every contest.
- The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Colorado’s games have gone over the total in 29 of its 70 opportunities.
- The Rockies are 34-36-0 against the spread in their 70 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.00 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – A.J. Smith-Shawver
- Smith-Shawver and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up no earned runs.
- If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to three.
- Smith-Shawver’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Smith-Shawver’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Smith-Shawver with a total this season hit the under.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 33 | 31.2 | 38 | 5.68 | 4 | 10 |
| Jesse Chávez | 28 | 29 | 36 | 1.55 | 13 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 25 | 27.1 | 30 | 3.62 | 10 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 23 | 23.1 | 29 | 3.47 | 4 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 22 | 24 | 31 | 3.38 | 4 | 0 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Kyle Freeland
- Freeland (4-7 with a 3.91 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 76 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rockies, his 15th of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday, the lefty tossed five innings against the San Diego Padres, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
- Freeland will look to continue a five-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 innings per outing).
- In four of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Rockies have a 4-8 record in Freeland’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Freeland’s 14 starts, his team is 5-9.
- Freeland has had 14 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those matchups.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lawrence | 30 | 38 | 38 | 3.08 | 7 | 2 |
| Jake Bird | 30 | 43.2 | 45 | 3.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | 28 | 39.2 | 31 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Brad Hand | 28 | 25 | 33 | 3.60 | 2 | 0 |
| Pierce Johnson | 28 | 26 | 35 | 6.92 | 0 | 12 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 24-9 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
- Atlanta has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 15 games this season, and won every time.
- The team is 34-15 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- Atlanta has a 34-7 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 12-8 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They are 9-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Colorado has gone 10-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 24-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Colorado has won 23 of its 29 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-3
Braves vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-265)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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