Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 14, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 14, 2023

Cavan Biggio carries a two-game homer streak into the Toronto Blue Jays’ (37-31) game against the Baltimore Orioles (42-24) whose Gunnar Henderson has homered in three games in a row. It starts at 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Blue Jays (-113 moneyline odds to win) square off against the Orioles (-106) in a projected tight matchup. The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 14, 2023 at 7:24 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -113 -106 9

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 26, or 54.2%, of the 48 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Toronto has a record of 25-21, a 54.3% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 53.1%.
  • Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of its 68 games with a total this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 32-36-0 ATS in their 68 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 12
ERA 4.90
K/9 10.7

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won in 17, or 51.5%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Baltimore has won 16 of 30 games when listed as at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of its 66 opportunities.
  • The Orioles are 41-25-0 against the spread in their 66 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 15
ERA 3.78
K/9 10.8

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios

  • Berrios and his team have a record of 7-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Thursday.
  • Berrios has pitched five or more innings in 11 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has made 13 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Berrios’ team is 5-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Berrios’ team has an 8-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Berrios have a 5-6-2 record at hitting the over this season.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Erik Swanson 30 31.2 40 2.56 16 1
Tim Mayza 30 23 24 1.57 5 1
Yimi Garcia 28 27.2 33 5.53 8 0
Jordan Romano 27 27 33 2.67 1 18
Anthony Bass 21 20 19 4.95 1 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish

  • Bradish (2-2 with a 4.25 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 53 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Orioles, his 12th of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he threw five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Bradish has seven starts this campaign that he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has had three appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
  • The Orioles have been the moneyline underdog in five of Bradish’s starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.
  • Bradish’s team has won seven of his 11 starts.
  • Bradish has had 11 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those outings.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Baker 30 28.2 35 3.45 10 0
Michael Baumann 29 34.1 38 3.93 3 0
Felix Bautista 28 31 64 1.16 0 17
Yeinier Cano 27 34 33 1.06 14 4
Danny Coulombe 26 22.1 32 2.01 12 0

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have a 15-7 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Toronto has put up five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and has gone 9-1 in those contests.
  • The team has totaled eight or more hits in 58 games this season, and is 37-21 in those contests.
  • Toronto is 29-9 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Blue Jays have gone 11-5 in the 16 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 29 games this season and are 20-9 in those matchups.
  • In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-2.
  • In 44 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 30-14.
  • Baltimore has a 32-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 16-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-106)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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