The Milwaukee Brewers (34-33) will look to Christian Yelich, currently on a two-game homer streak, against the Minnesota Twins (34-33) at 1:10 PM ET on Wednesday, at Target Field.
The Brewers (+135 underdog on the moneyline to win) are away versus the Twins (-159). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 14, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -159 | +135 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 38 times this season and won 25, or 65.8%, of those games.
- Minnesota has entered 14 games this season favored by -159 or more and is 9-5 in those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 28 of 67 opportunities.
- In 67 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 32-35-0 ATS.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have come away with 15 wins in the 30 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 5-7 when favored by +135 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of its 67 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 67 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 29-38-0 against the spread.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- When Ober starts, his team is 4-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up three earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Ober will look to finish five or more innings for the 10th start in a row.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his nine chances this season.
- When Ober starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-2.
- Ober’s team has won five of his nine starts this season.
- The teams have gone under the point total set by oddsmakers in each of the nine games Ober has started this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 29 | 28 | 31 | 3.54 | 7 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 26 | 25 | 22 | 4.32 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 23 | 25 | 34 | 1.44 | 0 | 8 |
| Jovani Moran | 23 | 27 | 30 | 3.67 | 7 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 22 | 27.1 | 25 | 4.61 | 0 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea gets the start for the Brewers, his 11th of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.47 ERA and 48 strikeouts through 52 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he went five scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
- Rea will aim to pitch five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.7 frames per outing.
- In two of his 11 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Brewers have a 4-1 record in Rea’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Rea’s team has put together a 6-4 record over his 10 starts.
- Rea’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of 10 games.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 29 | 29.2 | 31 | 5.16 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 28 | 31.1 | 34 | 2.59 | 10 | 1 |
| Hoby Milner | 27 | 24.2 | 22 | 3.28 | 5 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 21 | 21.2 | 30 | 2.08 | 0 | 10 |
| Bryse Wilson | 21 | 34 | 27 | 2.91 | 2 | 3 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have a 30-6 record in games this season when they belt two or more home runs.
- Minnesota has gone 22-1 in its 23 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits in 44 games this season, and is 35-9 in those contests.
- Minnesota has a 36-4 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 25 games this season, and are 15-10 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 29 of the 34 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in five games this season and won each of them.
- In 35 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 26-9.
- Milwaukee has won 33 of its 37 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 17 of their 24 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-159)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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