The Cleveland Guardians (31-35) will look for Josh Naylor to prolong a 12-game hitting streak versus the San Diego Padres (32-34), on Wednesday at 9:40 PM ET, at PETCO Park.
The favored Padres (-164 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Guardians (+139). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 14, 2023 at 9:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -164 | +139 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have entered the game as favorites 44 times this season and won 24, or 54.5%, of those games.
- This season San Diego has won 12 of its 22 games, or 54.5%, when favored by at least -164 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 62.1%.
- Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 22 of 66 chances this season.
- In 66 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 32-34-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (43.3%) in those games.
- This season, Cleveland has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of its 66 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 33-33-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.00 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha
- Wacha and his team have a record of 9-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, June 7, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on two hits in a matchup with the Seattle Mariners.
- In 12 starts, Wacha has pitched through or past the fifth inning nine times. He has a season average of 5.7 frames per outing.
- In 12 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- Wacha’s team has been victorious in 62.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-3.
- Wacha’s team has won eight of his 12 starts this season.
- Out of Wacha’s 12 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 29 | 32.2 | 36 | 2.76 | 12 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 28 | 26.1 | 18 | 3.42 | 7 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 27 | 26.1 | 37 | 1.37 | 0 | 16 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 22 | 32.1 | 31 | 3.9 | 3 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 21 | 19.2 | 20 | 5.49 | 7 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale
- Civale (2-1) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his fifth start of the season. He’s put together a 2.31 ERA in 23 1/3 innings pitched, with 15 strikeouts.
- The righty last appeared on Thursday against the Boston Red Sox, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Civale will look to pitch five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.8 innings per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his four outings this season.
- The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for two Civale starts this season — they split the games.
- Civale’s team has a 2-2 record in his four starts.
- Civale has started four games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 31 | 32 | 29 | 2.81 | 0 | 20 |
| Trevor Stephan | 29 | 28.1 | 32 | 2.54 | 10 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 27 | 25 | 22 | 3.24 | 4 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 24 | 27.1 | 30 | 1.65 | 3 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 21 | 22.2 | 23 | 3.18 | 2 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 13-14 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- San Diego is 10-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 25-8 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- San Diego is 26-3 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres are 17-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won eight of the 10 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-4.
- In 38 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 19-19.
- Cleveland has won 15 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 10-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-164)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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