The Washington Nationals (26-39) visit the Houston Astros (38-29) at 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Astros are the home favorite (-248) versus the Nationals (+207). The total for this game is 7.5.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of June 14, 2023 at 7:24 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -248 | +207 | 7.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have entered the game as favorites 47 times this season and won 26, or 55.3%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 8-2 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -248 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 71.3%.
- Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 67 chances this season.
- The Astros are 34-33-0 ATS in their 67 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.80 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 62 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (38.7%) in those contests.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win three times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +207 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 32.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 30 of its 65 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 37-28-0 against the spread in their 65 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.79 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez and his team are 7-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Valdez has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 13 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Valdez’s team is 5-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Valdez’s team has a 7-6 record in his starts this season.
- In Valdez’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 30 | 32.2 | 51 | 1.93 | 10 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 28 | 32.2 | 34 | 1.10 | 4 | 0 |
| Rafael Montero | 28 | 27.2 | 31 | 5.86 | 4 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 25 | 26.1 | 29 | 3.42 | 0 | 12 |
| Héctor Neris | 25 | 26 | 30 | 1.38 | 12 | 2 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray (4-5) gets the starting nod for the Nationals in his 14th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.00 ERA in 72 2/3 innings pitched, with 61 strikeouts.
- In his last time out on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, the righty went five innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering two hits.
- Gray is seeking his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 13 outings this season.
- The Nationals are 5-7 in Gray’s 12 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gray’s team has put together a 6-7 record over his 13 starts.
- Gray has had 13 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those games.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 29 | 28.2 | 21 | 3.14 | 13 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 26 | 28 | 33 | 3.21 | 11 | 3 |
| Mason Thompson | 25 | 33 | 28 | 3.55 | 3 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 25 | 25.2 | 27 | 4.56 | 3 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 16 | 23.2 | 23 | 5.32 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have hit at least two homers in 18 games this season, and are 13-5 in those outings.
- Houston has gone 11-3 in its 14 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 38-10 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Houston is 36-5 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Astros are 16-4 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won eight of the 13 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has gone 9-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 23 of the 42 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 18 of its 26 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 7-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Astros vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-248)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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