Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 13, 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (41-25) will attempt to keep a six-game winning streak going when they host the Philadelphia Phillies (32-34) at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Phillies are the road favorite (-142) versus the Diamondbacks (+120). The over/under in the game is set at 9 total runs.

The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 13, 2023 at 9:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -142 +120 9

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 38 times this season and won 20, or 52.6%, of those games.
  • This season Philadelphia has won 13 of its 23 games, or 56.5%, when favored by at least -142 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 58.7% chance to win.
  • Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 28 of 66 chances this season.
  • The Phillies have an ATS record of 29-37-0 in 66 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 14
ERA 3.99
K/9 9.2

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have come away with 19 wins in the 34 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Arizona has a mark of 10-11 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 45.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 32 of its 66 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 66 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 41-25-0 against the spread.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.3
HR 11
ERA 4.40
K/9 7.9

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler

  • Wheeler and his team have a record of 6-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up no earned runs and allowed one hit in 7 1/3 innings against the Detroit Tigers.
  • In 13 starts, Wheeler has pitched through or past the fifth inning 11 times. He has a season average of 5.8 frames per outing.
  • He has made 13 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • When Wheeler starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-6.
  • Wheeler’s team has won seven of his 13 starts.
  • Out of Wheeler’s 13 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Seranthony Domínguez 30 25.2 26 3.51 9 0
Gregory Soto 28 26 28 5.19 10 1
Craig Kimbrel 27 25 39 5.04 3 9
Andrew Vasquez 20 30.1 25 1.78 0 0
José Alvarado 16 16.1 28 2.2 4 5

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zach Davies

  • Davies gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his sixth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 4.68 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Washington Nationals, when the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Davies will try to extend a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging five frames per appearance).
  • He has not made an appearance so far in 2023 where he did not give up at least one earned run.
  • The Diamondbacks are 2-1 in Davies’ three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Davies’ five starts, his team is 4-1.
  • Davies’ starts went over the run total one time in five games with a set total this season.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Scott McGough 28 33.1 39 2.97 12 2
Miguel Castro 27 27.1 24 3.95 8 6
Andrew Chafin 27 23.2 36 3.04 8 8
Kyle Nelson 26 24 30 2.63 6 0
José Ruiz 24 29 28 5.59 1 0

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies have hit two or more long balls in 18 games this season, and are 12-6 in those outings.
  • Philadelphia has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 17 games this season, and has gone 12-5 in those outings.
  • The team is 27-18 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
  • Philadelphia has a 24-5 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Phillies are 15-6 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • They are 21-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Arizona has gone 17-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 51 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 40-11.
  • Arizona has won 40 of its 47 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 13-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+120)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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