Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 12, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (37-30) and Baltimore Orioles (41-24) clash in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, at 7:05 PM ET. The Blue Jays are coming off a series defeat to the Twins, and the Orioles a series win over the Royals.

The Blue Jays are a favorite (-124) at the Orioles (+105). The total for this game is 8.5.

The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 13, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -124 +105 8.5

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 26, or 55.3%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Toronto is 21-17 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 55.4% chance to win.
  • Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of 67 opportunities.
  • The Blue Jays are 32-35-0 ATS in their 67 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 13
ERA 3.76
K/9 10.5

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won in 16, or 50%, of the 32 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 12-12 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 32 of its 65 opportunities.
  • The Orioles have posted a record of 40-25-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 12
ERA 4.40
K/9 11.1

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Chris Bassitt

  • Bassitt’s team is 7-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw eight innings against the Houston Astros, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Bassitt will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • He has made 13 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Bassitt’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-3).
  • In games Bassitt has started, his team is 8-5.
  • Out of Bassitt’s 13 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Erik Swanson 30 31.2 40 2.56 16 1
Tim Mayza 30 23 24 1.57 5 1
Yimi Garcia 28 27.2 33 5.53 8 0
Jordan Romano 27 27 33 2.67 1 18
Anthony Bass 21 20 19 4.95 1 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer

  • Kremer (6-3) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his 14th start of the season. He has a 4.89 ERA in 70 2/3 innings pitched, with 59 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent time out on Wednesday, the right-hander went five innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up six earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Kremer will try to continue an 11-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 innings per appearance).
  • In two of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
  • The Orioles have been the underdog on the moneyline in nine of Kremer’s starts this season, and they went 6-3 in those games.
  • Kremer’s team has an 8-5 record over his 13 starts.
  • Kremer’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in eight of 13 games.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Baker 29 27.2 34 3.58 10 0
Michael Baumann 28 34 37 3.97 3 0
Felix Bautista 28 31 64 1.16 0 17
Yeinier Cano 27 34 33 1.06 14 4
Danny Coulombe 26 22.1 32 2.01 12 0

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have hit two or more round-trippers in 22 games this season, and are 15-7 in those contests.
  • Toronto has gone 9-1 in its 10 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 37-20 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • Toronto is 29-8 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Blue Jays are 11-5 over the 16 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They are 19-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Baltimore has won 17 of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 29-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 39 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 31-8.
  • They have a 16-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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