The San Diego Padres (31-34) host the Cleveland Guardians (31-34) to start a three-game series at PETCO Park, with first pitch at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday. The Padres are on the back of a series victory over the Rockies, and the Guardians a series win over the Astros.
The Guardians are an underdog away (+142) at the Padres (-167). The game’s total is 7.5.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of June 13, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -167 | +142 | 7.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have won 23 out of the 43 games, or 53.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season San Diego has won 11 of its 21 games, or 52.4%, when favored by at least -167 on the moneyline.
- The Padres have a 62.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of 65 games with a total.
- The Padres are 31-34-0 against the spread in their 65 chances this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.83 |
| K/9 | 10 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have won in 13, or 44.8%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cleveland has played as an underdog of +142 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 41.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of its 65 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 65 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 33-32-0 against the spread.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove
- Musgrove and his team have a record of 4-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Musgrove has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in eight chances this season.
- Musgrove’s team is 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Musgrove’s team has won four of his eight starts.
- In games Musgrove has started this season, the teams are 2-6-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 28 | 26.1 | 18 | 3.42 | 7 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 28 | 31.2 | 35 | 2.84 | 11 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 26 | 25.1 | 34 | 1.42 | 0 | 15 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 22 | 32.1 | 31 | 3.9 | 3 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 21 | 19.2 | 20 | 5.49 | 7 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- Bibee (2-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 44 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Guardians, his ninth of the season.
- The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox, when he tossed five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Bibee will try to build on a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 frames per appearance).
- He has not made an outing so far in 2023 where he did not give up at least one earned run.
- The Guardians were named the moneyline underdog for four Bibee starts this season — they lost every time.
- In Bibee’s eight starts, his team is 3-5.
- Bibee’s starts went over the run total three times in eight games with a set total this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 31 | 32 | 29 | 2.81 | 0 | 20 |
| Trevor Stephan | 29 | 28.1 | 32 | 2.54 | 10 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 27 | 25 | 22 | 3.24 | 4 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 23 | 26.1 | 30 | 1.71 | 3 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 21 | 22.2 | 23 | 3.18 | 2 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have hit two or more round-trippers in 26 games this season, and are 12-14 in those contests.
- San Diego has gone 10-5 in its 15 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits in 32 games this season, and is 24-8 in those contests.
- San Diego is 25-3 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres are 17-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 10 games this season and are 8-2 in those matchups.
- Cleveland has gone 7-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 37 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 19-18.
- Cleveland has won 15 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-9
Padres vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-167)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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